Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 VA-09 House election by 55% or more?
YES Price
3¢
3% implied
NO Price
97¢
97% implied
Volume
$2.2K
102 trades
Smart Whales
8
of 56 traders
VA-09 House Election Margin of Victory
10 MARKETS · $31.2K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
1 YESvs7 NO
13%88%
88% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 23% YES by dollars · 1 YES vs 1 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $35 is directional: YES $8·NO $27YES Team
Total Invested
$8
Avg Win Rate
74.4%
Aggregate P&L
-$5(-66.5%)
Whales
1
NO Team
Total Invested
$129
Avg Win Rate
78.0%
Aggregate P&L
+$98(+75.9%)
Whales
7
P
plainfolder🥇
Entry 50¢·80 shares
Invested
$40
Win Rate
86.2%
Position P&L
+$38
+$38INV $40 · WR 86.2%
Q
qwen300.fund🥈
Entry 50¢·60 shares
Invested
$30
Win Rate
86.2%
Position P&L
+$28
+$28INV $30 · WR 86.2%
J
johnashbough◆Proven🥉
Entry 89¢·30.4 shares
Invested
$27
Win Rate
56.4%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $27 · WR 56.4%
H
Hugin-og-Munin
Entry 50¢·20 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
66.6%
Position P&L
+$9
+$9INV $10 · WR 66.6%
P
Pertinent-Nudge-Rancher
Entry 50¢·18 shares
Invested
$9
Win Rate
79.5%
Position P&L
+$8
+$8INV $9 · WR 79.5%
L
Lucerys
Entry 50¢·13.8 shares
Invested
$7
Win Rate
88.0%
Position P&L
+$6
+$6INV $7 · WR 88.0%
P
Personal-Flute-Dragonfruit
Entry 50¢·12.5 shares
Invested
$6
Win Rate
84.9%
Position P&L
+$6
+$6INV $6 · WR 84.9%
Smart Whale Trades
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