Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 VA-09 House election by 25%-30%?
YES Price
21¢
21% implied
NO Price
79¢
79% implied
Volume
$5.7K
255 trades
Smart Whales
8
of 78 traders
VA-09 House Election Margin of Victory
10 MARKETS · $31.2K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
1 YESvs7 NO
13%88%
88% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 98% YES by dollars · 1 YES vs 1 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 70%· net of hedges
+10 new YES$109+8 new NO$247
$19 of this was bought on both sides by the same 4 buyers — left out of momentum
1 smart whale1 smart whale
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $38 is directional: YES $37·NO $1YES Team
Total Invested
$37
Avg Win Rate
66.3%
Aggregate P&L
+$45(+121.3%)
Whales
1
NO Team
Total Invested
$103
Avg Win Rate
83.7%
Aggregate P&L
+$37(+35.5%)
Whales
7
H
haveagoodday🥇
Entry 85¢·40 shares
Invested
$34
Win Rate
87.0%
Position P&L
$-3
$-3INV $34 · WR 87.0%
Q
qwen300.fund🥈
Entry 50¢·60 shares
Invested
$30
Win Rate
86.2%
Position P&L
+$17
+$17INV $30 · WR 86.2%
E
e46m3🥉
Entry 50¢·25.6 shares
Invested
$13
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
+$7
+$7INV $13 · WR 79.6%
H
Hugin-og-Munin
Entry 50¢·20 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
66.6%
Position P&L
+$6
+$6INV $10 · WR 66.6%
T
Thorny-Parachute-Philanthropy
Entry 50¢·18 shares
Invested
$9
Win Rate
86.0%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $9 · WR 86.0%
L
Lucerys
Entry 50¢·13.8 shares
Invested
$7
Win Rate
88.0%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $7 · WR 88.0%
G
garbagecollect4
Entry 85¢·1 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
68.5%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $1 · WR 68.5%
Smart Whale Trades
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