Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 VA-09 House election by 45%-50%?
YES Price
2¢
2% implied
NO Price
98¢
98% implied
Volume
$785
65 trades
Smart Whales
5
of 34 traders
VA-09 House Election Margin of Victory
10 MARKETS · $31.2K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
1 YESvs4 NO
20%80%
80% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 100% YES by dollars · 1 YES vs 0 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $8 is directional: YES $8·NO $0YES Team
Total Invested
$8
Avg Win Rate
74.4%
Aggregate P&L
-$6(-77.3%)
Whales
1
NO Team
Total Invested
$83
Avg Win Rate
86.1%
Aggregate P&L
+$79(+95.4%)
Whales
4
Q
quietparcel🥇
Entry 50¢·80 shares
Invested
$40
Win Rate
88.7%
Position P&L
+$38
+$38INV $40 · WR 88.7%
Q
qwen300.fund🥈
Entry 50¢·60 shares
Invested
$30
Win Rate
86.2%
Position P&L
+$29
+$29INV $30 · WR 86.2%
L
Lucerys🥉
Entry 50¢·13.8 shares
Invested
$7
Win Rate
88.0%
Position P&L
+$7
+$7INV $7 · WR 88.0%
H
Hugin-og-Munin
Entry 50¢·12 shares
Invested
$6
Win Rate
66.6%
Position P&L
+$6
+$6INV $6 · WR 66.6%
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