Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 VA-09 House election by 35%-40%?
YES Price
16¢
16% implied
NO Price
84¢
84% implied
Volume
$6.2K
326 trades
Smart Whales
8
of 90 traders
VA-09 House Election Margin of Victory
10 MARKETS · $31.2K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
2 YESvs6 NO
25%75%
75% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 100% YES by dollars · 2 YES vs 0 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 76%· net of hedges
+3 new YES$29+3 new NO$86
$4 of this was bought on both sides by the same 1 buyer — left out of momentum
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $10 is directional: YES $10·NO $0YES Team
Total Invested
$10
Avg Win Rate
73.4%
Aggregate P&L
-$2(-15.7%)
Whales
2
NO Team
Total Invested
$119
Avg Win Rate
86.5%
Aggregate P&L
+$39(+32.8%)
Whales
6
G
graynotebook19🥇
Entry 74¢·80 shares
Invested
$59
Win Rate
89.2%
Position P&L
+$8
+$8INV $59 · WR 89.2%
Q
qwen300.fund🥈
Entry 50¢·60 shares
Invested
$30
Win Rate
86.2%
Position P&L
+$20
+$20INV $30 · WR 86.2%
L
Lucerys🥉
Entry 84¢·13.8 shares
Invested
$12
Win Rate
88.0%
Position P&L
—
—INV $12 · WR 88.0%
M
Mountainous-Inconvenience-Shout
Entry 50¢·18 shares
Invested
$9
Win Rate
84.0%
Position P&L
+$6
+$6INV $9 · WR 84.0%
H
Hugin-og-Munin
Entry 50¢·12 shares
Invested
$6
Win Rate
66.6%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $6 · WR 66.6%
E
e46m3
Entry 72¢·5 shares
Invested
$4
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $4 · WR 79.6%
Smart Whale Trades
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