Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-24 House election by 6%-9%?
YES Price
96¢
96% implied
NO Price
4¢
4% implied
Volume
$4.5K
118 trades
Smart Whales
15
of 62 traders
TX-24 House Election Margin of Victory
10 MARKETS · $29.8K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
4 YESvs11 NO
27%73%
73% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 99% YES by dollars · 4 YES vs 1 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 98%· net of hedges
+2 new YES$43+5 new NO$2
$1 of this was bought on both sides by the same 1 buyer — left out of momentum
0 smart whales2 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $718 is directional: YES $713·NO $5YES Team
Total Invested
$713
Avg Win Rate
74.0%
Aggregate P&L
+$270(+37.9%)
Whales
4
T
TheArtOfTACO🥇
Entry 92¢·437 shares
Invested
$404
Win Rate
83.1%
Position P&L
+$6
+$6INV $404 · WR 83.1%
B
Baggy-Forehead-Consistency🥈
Entry 56¢·547.5 shares
Invested
$305
Win Rate
62.1%
Position P&L
+$221
+$221INV $305 · WR 62.1%
R
RayGuy🥉
Entry 8¢·48 shares
Invested
$4
Win Rate
57.9%
Position P&L
+$41
+$41INV $4 · WR 57.9%
S
smallreceipt
Entry 8¢·2.8 shares
Invested
$0
Win Rate
88.6%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $0 · WR 88.6%
NO Team
Total Invested
$164
Avg Win Rate
79.9%
Aggregate P&L
-$152(-92.6%)
Whales
11
B
balthazar🥇
Entry 48¢·100 shares
Invested
$48
Win Rate
71.9%
Position P&L
$-43
$-43INV $48 · WR 71.9%
L
Lucerys🥈
Entry 85¢·46 shares
Invested
$39
Win Rate
87.6%
Position P&L
$-37
$-37INV $39 · WR 87.6%
L
lpgb🥉
Entry 82¢·21 shares
Invested
$17
Win Rate
71.7%
Position P&L
$-16
$-16INV $17 · WR 71.7%
Q
qwen300.fund
Entry 83¢·20 shares
Invested
$17
Win Rate
86.1%
Position P&L
$-16
$-16INV $17 · WR 86.1%
D
donthackme
Entry 91¢·15 shares
Invested
$14
Win Rate
87.4%
Position P&L
$-13
$-13INV $14 · WR 87.4%
M
mustbethewater
Entry 91¢·10 shares
Invested
$9
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
$-9
$-9INV $9 · WR 79.6%
H
haveagoodday
Entry 28¢·30 shares
Invested
$8
Win Rate
86.5%
Position P&L
$-7
$-7INV $8 · WR 86.5%
L
luciebot
Entry 47¢·11.2 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
80.5%
Position P&L
$-5
$-5INV $5 · WR 80.5%
G
garbagecollect4
Entry 79¢·6 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
68.4%
Position P&L
$-4
$-4INV $5 · WR 68.4%
N
northdrawer
Entry 8¢·30 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
87.5%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $2 · WR 87.5%
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