Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MS-01 House election by 30%-35%?
YES Price
1¢
1% implied
NO Price
99¢
99% implied
Volume
$5.9K
163 trades
Smart Whales
13
of 73 traders
MS-01 House Election Margin of Victory (First Round)
10 MARKETS · $37.2K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
0 YESvs13 NO
100%
100% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 0% YES by dollars · 0 YES vs 1 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $20 is directional: YES $0·NO $20YES Team
Total Invested
$0
Avg Win Rate
unknown
Aggregate P&L
—
Whales
0
No smart whales on YES
NO Team
Total Invested
$483
Avg Win Rate
82.9%
Aggregate P&L
+$152(+31.4%)
Whales
13
L
Lucerys🥇
Entry 70¢·197.1 shares
Invested
$138
Win Rate
87.6%
Position P&L
+$57
+$57INV $138 · WR 87.6%
Q
quietparcel🥈
Entry 80¢·170 shares
Invested
$136
Win Rate
88.5%
Position P&L
+$32
+$32INV $136 · WR 88.5%
B
balthazar🥉
Entry 71¢·100 shares
Invested
$71
Win Rate
71.9%
Position P&L
+$28
+$28INV $71 · WR 71.9%
M
mustbethewater
Entry 88¢·40 shares
Invested
$35
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $35 · WR 79.6%
E
e46m3
Entry 67¢·32.3 shares
Invested
$22
Win Rate
79.2%
Position P&L
+$10
+$10INV $22 · WR 79.2%
T
thanksforplayin
Entry 84¢·23.8 shares
Invested
$20
Win Rate
55.9%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $20 · WR 55.9%
D
Daring-Dishwasher-Tutu
Entry 98¢·18.9 shares
Invested
$19
Win Rate
84.9%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $19 · WR 84.9%
L
luciebot
Entry 98¢·13 shares
Invested
$13
Win Rate
80.5%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $13 · WR 80.5%
G
god83743894
Entry 59¢·15 shares
Invested
$9
Win Rate
86.0%
Position P&L
+$6
+$6INV $9 · WR 86.0%
H
haveagoodday
Entry 70¢·10 shares
Invested
$7
Win Rate
86.5%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $7 · WR 86.5%
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