Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AZ-05 House election by 10%-15%?
YES Price
1¢
1% implied
NO Price
99¢
99% implied
Volume
$3.5K
132 trades
Smart Whales
12
of 68 traders
AZ-05 House Election Margin of Victory
8 MARKETS · $17.0K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
3 YESvs9 NO
25%75%
75% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 42% YES by dollars · 2 YES vs 1 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 99%
+1 new YES$0+1 new NO$10
0 smart whales1 smart whale
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $63 is directional: YES $26·NO $37YES Team
Total Invested
$59
Avg Win Rate
62.8%
Aggregate P&L
-$56(-93.8%)
Whales
3
NO Team
Total Invested
$172
Avg Win Rate
77.9%
Aggregate P&L
+$55(+32.0%)
Whales
9
L
Lucerys🥇
Entry 72¢·51 shares
Invested
$37
Win Rate
87.6%
Position P&L
+$13
+$13INV $37 · WR 87.6%
J
johnashbough🥈
Entry 89¢·40.9 shares
Invested
$37
Win Rate
55.3%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $37 · WR 55.3%
G
godblessme2026🥉
Entry 70¢·50 shares
Invested
$35
Win Rate
87.9%
Position P&L
+$15
+$15INV $35 · WR 87.9%
E
e46m3
Entry 69¢·26.8 shares
Invested
$19
Win Rate
79.2%
Position P&L
+$8
+$8INV $19 · WR 79.2%
T
Thorny-Parachute-Philanthropy
Entry 76¢·14.4 shares
Invested
$11
Win Rate
86.2%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $11 · WR 86.2%
T
That-Scorn-Midden
Entry 99¢·10.3 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
89.7%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $10 · WR 89.7%
T
thanksforplayin
Entry 55¢·18.1 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
55.9%
Position P&L
+$8
+$8INV $10 · WR 55.9%
B
Bare-Earring
Entry 82¢·9 shares
Invested
$7
Win Rate
83.6%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $7 · WR 83.6%
Q
qwen300.fund
Entry 72¢·10 shares
Invested
$7
Win Rate
86.1%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $7 · WR 86.1%
Smart Whale Trades
Loading trades...
Price History (YES)
Loading chart...
Loaded in 751ms