Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AZ-05 House election by 20%-25%?
YES Price
0¢
0% implied
NO Price
100¢
100% implied
Volume
$760
46 trades
Smart Whales
11
of 35 traders
AZ-05 House Election Margin of Victory
8 MARKETS · $17.0K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
3 YESvs8 NO
27%73%
73% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 23% YES by dollars · 3 YES vs 1 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 100%
+2 new YES$0+1 new NO$10
0 smart whales1 smart whale
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $131 is directional: YES $30·NO $101YES Team
Total Invested
$30
Avg Win Rate
65.9%
Aggregate P&L
-$28(-95.2%)
Whales
3
NO Team
Total Invested
$223
Avg Win Rate
75.9%
Aggregate P&L
+$40(+17.9%)
Whales
8
B
Baggy-Forehead-Consistency🥇
Entry 84¢·120 shares
Invested
$101
Win Rate
62.1%
Position P&L
+$18
+$18INV $101 · WR 62.1%
Q
quietparcel🥈
Entry 99¢·40 shares
Invested
$40
Win Rate
88.5%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $40 · WR 88.5%
L
Lucerys🥉
Entry 66¢·51 shares
Invested
$34
Win Rate
87.6%
Position P&L
+$17
+$17INV $34 · WR 87.6%
C
Conscious-Gaffer-Tortoise
Entry 86¢·18 shares
Invested
$15
Win Rate
81.8%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $15 · WR 81.8%
R
Royal-Jet-Fiery
Entry 100¢·10.3 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
91.6%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $10 · WR 91.6%
Q
qwen300.fund
Entry 91¢·10 shares
Invested
$9
Win Rate
86.1%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $9 · WR 86.1%
S
smallreceipt
Entry 91¢·10 shares
Invested
$9
Win Rate
88.6%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $9 · WR 88.6%
P
plainfolder
Entry 93¢·5 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
86.1%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $5 · WR 86.1%
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