Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AZ-05 House election by 25% or more?
YES Price
1¢
1% implied
NO Price
99¢
99% implied
Volume
$470
30 trades
Smart Whales
9
of 28 traders
AZ-05 House Election Margin of Victory
8 MARKETS · $17.0K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
2 YESvs7 NO
22%78%
78% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 100% YES by dollars · 2 YES vs 0 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 100%
+1 new YES$0+1 new NO$10
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $27 is directional: YES $27·NO $0YES Team
Total Invested
$27
Avg Win Rate
64.9%
Aggregate P&L
-$24(-87.4%)
Whales
2
NO Team
Total Invested
$140
Avg Win Rate
83.9%
Aggregate P&L
+$26(+18.3%)
Whales
7
N
northdrawer🥇
Entry 93¢·40 shares
Invested
$37
Win Rate
87.5%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $37 · WR 87.5%
L
Lucerys🥈
Entry 63¢·51 shares
Invested
$32
Win Rate
87.6%
Position P&L
+$19
+$19INV $32 · WR 87.6%
E
e46m3🥉
Entry 90¢·32.2 shares
Invested
$29
Win Rate
79.2%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $29 · WR 79.2%
L
Late-Squirrel-Mecca
Entry 92¢·18 shares
Invested
$17
Win Rate
72.8%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $17 · WR 72.8%
Q
qwen300.fund
Entry 100¢·10 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
86.1%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $10 · WR 86.1%
G
god83743894
Entry 100¢·10 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
86.0%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $10 · WR 86.0%
G
godblessme2026
Entry 99¢·5 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
87.9%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $5 · WR 87.9%
Smart Whale Trades
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