Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AZ-05 House election by 0%-5%?
YES Price
96¢
96% implied
NO Price
4¢
4% implied
Volume
$3.0K
94 trades
Smart Whales
10
of 55 traders
AZ-05 House Election Margin of Victory
8 MARKETS · $17.0K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
4 YESvs6 NO
40%60%
60% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 100% YES by dollars · 3 YES vs 0 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 96%
+1 new YES$10+1 new NO$0
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $173 is directional: YES $173·NO $0YES Team
Total Invested
$177
Avg Win Rate
60.1%
Aggregate P&L
+$263(+148.5%)
Whales
4
R
RayGuy🥇
Entry 95¢·152.6 shares
Invested
$145
Win Rate
57.9%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $145 · WR 57.9%
P
probability◆Proven🥈
Entry 9¢·197.1 shares
Invested
$18
Win Rate
61.1%
Position P&L
+$172
+$172INV $18 · WR 61.1%
Q
quine-zyx🥉
Entry 83¢·12.1 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
89.5%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $10 · WR 89.5%
A
Analyse24ResultsBeforehedged
Entry 4¢·94.9 shares·also $13 on NO
Invested
$4
Win Rate
62.2%
Position P&L
+$88
+$88INV $4 · WR 62.2%
NO Team
Total Invested
$125
Avg Win Rate
83.5%
Aggregate P&L
-$119(-95.6%)
Whales
6
L
Lucerys🥇
Entry 91¢·51 shares
Invested
$46
Win Rate
87.6%
Position P&L
$-45
$-45INV $46 · WR 87.6%
H
haveagoodday🥈
Entry 89¢·40 shares
Invested
$36
Win Rate
86.5%
Position P&L
$-34
$-34INV $36 · WR 86.5%
E
e46m3🥉
Entry 90¢·17.9 shares
Invested
$16
Win Rate
79.2%
Position P&L
$-15
$-15INV $16 · WR 79.2%
A
Analyse24ResultsBeforehedged
Entry 43¢·29.2 shares·also $4 on YES
Invested
$13
Win Rate
62.2%
Position P&L
$-12
$-12INV $13 · WR 62.2%
Q
qwen300.fund
Entry 98¢·10 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
86.1%
Position P&L
$-9
$-9INV $10 · WR 86.1%
G
god83743894
Entry 90¢·5 shares
Invested
$4
Win Rate
86.0%
Position P&L
$-4
$-4INV $4 · WR 86.0%
Smart Whale Trades
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