Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AZ-05 House election by 5%-10%?
YES Price
2¢
2% implied
NO Price
98¢
98% implied
Volume
$3.8K
175 trades
Smart Whales
7
of 73 traders
AZ-05 House Election Margin of Victory
8 MARKETS · $17.0K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
3 YESvs4 NO
43%57%
57% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 100% YES by dollars · 3 YES vs 0 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 100%
+0 new YES$0+3 new NO$12
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $38 is directional: YES $38·NO $0YES Team
Total Invested
$38
Avg Win Rate
62.5%
Aggregate P&L
-$34(-89.5%)
Whales
3
NO Team
Total Invested
$74
Avg Win Rate
88.1%
Aggregate P&L
+$40(+54.6%)
Whales
4
L
Lucerys🥇
Entry 65¢·51 shares
Invested
$33
Win Rate
87.6%
Position P&L
+$17
+$17INV $33 · WR 87.6%
G
graynotebook19🥈
Entry 64¢·50 shares
Invested
$32
Win Rate
89.0%
Position P&L
+$17
+$17INV $32 · WR 89.0%
Q
qwen300.fund🥉
Entry 55¢·10 shares
Invested
$6
Win Rate
86.1%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $6 · WR 86.1%
N
northdrawer
Entry 70¢·5 shares
Invested
$4
Win Rate
87.5%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $4 · WR 87.5%
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