Tech/AI78 days left
Will the next Claude Opus model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 50% or higher?
YES Price
100¢
100% implied
NO Price
0¢
0% implied
Volume
$18.7K
543 trades
Smart Whales
30
of 161 traders
Next Claude Opus Model: Humanity’s Last Exam Debut?
4 MARKETS · $148.6K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will the next Claude Opus model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 45% or higher
100¢−30¢$51.5K26/11Will the next Claude Opus model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 45% or higher−30¢100¢
$51.5K26/11
Will the next Claude Opus model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 50% or higher←
100¢−26¢$18.7K20/7Will the next Claude Opus model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 50% or higher←−26¢100¢
$18.7K20/7
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
23 YESvs7 NO
77%23%
77% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 99% YES by dollars · 16 YES vs 3 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 97%· net of hedges
+43 new YES$13.7K+47 new NO$409
$115 of this was bought on both sides by the same 12 buyers — left out of momentum
16 smart whales3 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $9.2K is directional: YES $9.1K·NO $124YES Team
Total Invested
$10.2K
Avg Win Rate
71.5%
Aggregate P&L
+$1.8K(+18.1%)
Whales
23
T
The-Joker◆Proven🥇
Entry 95¢·6,087.5 shares
Invested
$5.8K
Win Rate
70.0%
Position P&L
+$311
+$311INV $5.8K · WR 70.0%
F
fountaim◆Proven🥈
Entry 95¢·1,094.8 shares
Invested
$1.0K
Win Rate
82.3%
Position P&L
+$57
+$57INV $1.0K · WR 82.3%
F
0xfcef1eb2...🥉
Entry 97¢·775.8 shares
Invested
$751
Win Rate
71.0%
Position P&L
+$23
+$23INV $751 · WR 71.0%
R
ronaldk
Entry 69¢·1,051.2 shares
Invested
$725
Win Rate
71.7%
Position P&L
+$322
+$322INV $725 · WR 71.7%
I
iutwpfal
Entry 100¢·630.4 shares
Invested
$629
Win Rate
74.1%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $629 · WR 74.1%
L
lamyk
Entry 25¢·1,152.6 shares
Invested
$286
Win Rate
57.2%
Position P&L
+$863
+$863INV $286 · WR 57.2%
J
JRocHWC◆Proven
Entry 99¢·244.7 shares
Invested
$242
Win Rate
80.5%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $242 · WR 80.5%
K
KimchiCapital◆Proven
Entry 90¢·209.4 shares
Invested
$189
Win Rate
79.3%
Position P&L
+$20
+$20INV $189 · WR 79.3%
V
vinii
Entry 99¢·114.3 shares
Invested
$114
Win Rate
65.8%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $114 · WR 65.8%
M
Mustafalafel
Entry 77¢·133.5 shares
Invested
$102
Win Rate
62.5%
Position P&L
+$31
+$31INV $102 · WR 62.5%
Showing top 10 of 23
NO Team
Total Invested
$169
Avg Win Rate
71.5%
Aggregate P&L
-$119(-70.3%)
Whales
7
B
balthazar🥇
Entry 6¢·1,927.1 shares
Invested
$113
Win Rate
72.1%
Position P&L
$-108
$-108INV $113 · WR 72.1%
R
romanew-1-new🥈
Entry 18¢·34.5 shares
Invested
$6
Win Rate
64.9%
Position P&L
$-6
$-6INV $6 · WR 64.9%
W
Witty-Birch🥉
Entry 10¢·42.7 shares
Invested
$4
Win Rate
64.7%
Position P&L
$-4
$-4INV $4 · WR 64.7%
Showing top 3 of 7
Smart Whale Trades
Loading trades...
Price History (YES)
Loading chart...
Loaded in 490ms