Tech/AI100 days left
Will the next Claude Opus model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 50% or higher?
YES Price
97¢
97% implied
NO Price
3¢
3% implied
Volume
$2.2K
134 trades
Smart Whales
6
of 50 traders
Next Claude Opus Model: Humanity’s Last Exam Debut?
4 MARKETS · $26.6K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will the next Claude Opus model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 45% or higher
99¢+1¢$1.4K4/0Will the next Claude Opus model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 45% or higher+1¢99¢
$1.4K4/0
Will the next Claude Opus model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 50% or higher←
97¢−30¢$2.2K4/2Will the next Claude Opus model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 50% or higher←−30¢97¢
$2.2K4/2
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Smart Money Consensus
4 YESvs2 NO
67%33%
67% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 98% YES by dollars · 4 YES vs 2 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $467 is directional: YES $459·NO $9YES Team
Total Invested
$459
Avg Win Rate
57.7%
Aggregate P&L
+$31(+6.8%)
Whales
4
L
lamyk🥇
Entry 91¢·373.6 shares
Invested
$339
Win Rate
55.3%
Position P&L
+$9
+$9INV $339 · WR 55.3%
M
Mustafalafel🥈
Entry 77¢·133.5 shares
Invested
$102
Win Rate
62.3%
Position P&L
+$22
+$22INV $102 · WR 62.3%
C
Computerdude111🥉
Entry 88¢·16.4 shares
Invested
$15
Win Rate
79.4%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $15 · WR 79.4%
C
Cold-Piano
Entry 95¢·3.2 shares
Invested
$3
Win Rate
71.4%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $3 · WR 71.4%
NO Team
Total Invested
$9
Avg Win Rate
68.9%
Aggregate P&L
-$4(-48.5%)
Whales
2
Smart Whale Trades
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