Tech/AI100 days left
Will the next Claude Opus model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 60% or higher?
YES Price
3¢
3% implied
NO Price
97¢
97% implied
Volume
$6.3K
261 trades
Smart Whales
20
of 79 traders
Next Claude Opus Model: Humanity’s Last Exam Debut?
4 MARKETS · $26.6K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will the next Claude Opus model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 45% or higher
99¢+1¢$1.4K4/0Will the next Claude Opus model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 45% or higher+1¢99¢
$1.4K4/0
Will the next Claude Opus model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 50% or higher
95¢−28¢$2.2K4/2Will the next Claude Opus model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 50% or higher−28¢95¢
$2.2K4/2
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Smart Money Consensus
7 YESvs13 NO
35%65%
65% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 0% YES by dollars · 2 YES vs 8 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 91%· net of hedges
+9 new YES$58+7 new NO$590
$1 of this was bought on both sides by the same 1 buyer — left out of momentum
2 smart whales4 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $1.4K is directional: YES $3·NO $1.4KYES Team
Total Invested
$699
Avg Win Rate
71.9%
Aggregate P&L
-$676(-96.8%)
Whales
7
O
Olcan🥇hedged
Entry 103¢·409.8 shares·also $193 on NO
Invested
$420
Win Rate
76.9%
Position P&L
$-407
$-407INV $420 · WR 76.9%
N
NoTeacher🥈hedged
Entry 139¢·128.1 shares·also $53 on NO
Invested
$178
Win Rate
57.0%
Position P&L
$-174
$-174INV $178 · WR 57.0%
C
Computerdude111🥉hedged
Entry 229¢·38.2 shares·also $37 on NO
Invested
$87
Win Rate
79.4%
Position P&L
$-86
$-86INV $87 · WR 79.4%
F
Forsaken-Accomplishment
Entry 13¢·60 shares
Invested
$8
Win Rate
64.5%
Position P&L
$-6
$-6INV $8 · WR 64.5%
V
vinii
Entry 6¢·34.2 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
65.6%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $2 · WR 65.6%
T
trrr12hedged
Entry 91¢·1.6 shares·also $1 on NO
Invested
$1
Win Rate
62.6%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $1 · WR 62.6%
I
Ill-Informed-Iron
Entry 28¢·4.9 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
56.5%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $1 · WR 56.5%
NO Team
Total Invested
$1.7K
Avg Win Rate
74.2%
Aggregate P&L
+$504(+30.0%)
Whales
13
K
KimchiCapital🥇
Entry 81¢·852.9 shares
Invested
$688
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
+$144
+$144INV $688 · WR 79.6%
T
The-Joker🥈
Entry 95¢·560 shares
Invested
$533
Win Rate
70.6%
Position P&L
+$14
+$14INV $533 · WR 70.6%
O
Olcan🥉hedged
Entry 43¢·446.8 shares·also $420 on YES
Invested
$193
Win Rate
76.9%
Position P&L
+$239
+$239INV $193 · WR 76.9%
M
molodoyy
Entry 82¢·128.6 shares
Invested
$106
Win Rate
65.1%
Position P&L
+$20
+$20INV $106 · WR 65.1%
N
NoTeacherhedged
Entry 42¢·128.1 shares·also $178 on YES
Invested
$53
Win Rate
57.0%
Position P&L
+$71
+$71INV $53 · WR 57.0%
T
totti82
Entry 81¢·52.8 shares
Invested
$43
Win Rate
63.2%
Position P&L
+$9
+$9INV $43 · WR 63.2%
C
Computerdude111hedged
Entry 96¢·38.2 shares·also $87 on YES
Invested
$37
Win Rate
79.4%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $37 · WR 79.4%
K
kitty07
Entry 64¢·20 shares
Invested
$13
Win Rate
72.5%
Position P&L
+$7
+$7INV $13 · WR 72.5%
B
big-bird1
Entry 97¢·7.5 shares
Invested
$7
Win Rate
68.1%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $7 · WR 68.1%
Z
Zhaowei
Entry 95¢·5.4 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
65.1%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $5 · WR 65.1%
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