Tech/AI100 days left
Will the next Claude Opus model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 55% or higher?
YES Price
49¢
49% implied
NO Price
51¢
51% implied
Volume
$16.7K
635 trades
Smart Whales
16
of 108 traders
Next Claude Opus Model: Humanity’s Last Exam Debut?
4 MARKETS · $26.6K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will the next Claude Opus model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 45% or higher
99¢+1¢$1.4K4/0Will the next Claude Opus model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 45% or higher+1¢99¢
$1.4K4/0
Will the next Claude Opus model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 50% or higher
97¢−30¢$2.2K4/2Will the next Claude Opus model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 50% or higher−30¢97¢
$2.2K4/2
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Smart Money Consensus
6 YESvs10 NO
38%63%
63% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 19% YES by dollars · 2 YES vs 4 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 58%· net of hedges
+14 new YES$488+20 new NO$652
$107 of this was bought on both sides by the same 6 buyers — left out of momentum
4 smart whales5 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $1.1K is directional: YES $216·NO $919YES Team
Total Invested
$1.9K
Avg Win Rate
64.7%
Aggregate P&L
-$774(-40.3%)
Whales
6
M
molodoyy🥇hedged
Entry 113¢·837.7 shares·also $676 on NO
Invested
$945
Win Rate
65.1%
Position P&L
$-535
$-535INV $945 · WR 65.1%
B
BAO95889🥈hedged
Entry 91¢·541.8 shares·also $589 on NO
Invested
$493
Win Rate
56.6%
Position P&L
$-227
$-227INV $493 · WR 56.6%
O
Olcan🥉hedged
Entry 77¢·300.8 shares·also $167 on NO
Invested
$232
Win Rate
76.9%
Position P&L
$-85
$-85INV $232 · WR 76.9%
V
vinii
Entry 34¢·566.5 shares
Invested
$193
Win Rate
65.6%
Position P&L
+$90
+$90INV $193 · WR 65.6%
C
Computerdude111hedged
Entry 81¢·45.6 shares·also $57 on NO
Invested
$37
Win Rate
79.4%
Position P&L
$-15
$-15INV $37 · WR 79.4%
F
Forsaken-Accomplishment
Entry 58¢·40 shares
Invested
$23
Win Rate
64.5%
Position P&L
$-3
$-3INV $23 · WR 64.5%
NO Team
Total Invested
$2.4K
Avg Win Rate
66.5%
Aggregate P&L
-$780(-31.9%)
Whales
10
T
The-Joker🥇
Entry 65¢·1,291.8 shares
Invested
$834
Win Rate
70.6%
Position P&L
$-188
$-188INV $834 · WR 70.6%
M
molodoyy🥈hedged
Entry 81¢·837.7 shares·also $945 on YES
Invested
$676
Win Rate
65.1%
Position P&L
$-248
$-248INV $676 · WR 65.1%
B
BAO95889🥉hedged
Entry 94¢·626.6 shares·also $493 on YES
Invested
$589
Win Rate
56.6%
Position P&L
$-270
$-270INV $589 · WR 56.6%
O
Olcanhedged
Entry 64¢·260.8 shares·also $232 on YES
Invested
$167
Win Rate
76.9%
Position P&L
$-34
$-34INV $167 · WR 76.9%
K
KimchiCapital
Entry 73¢·82 shares
Invested
$60
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
$-19
$-19INV $60 · WR 79.6%
C
Computerdude111hedged
Entry 125¢·45.6 shares·also $37 on YES
Invested
$57
Win Rate
79.4%
Position P&L
$-34
$-34INV $57 · WR 79.4%
F
ForeverAlone69
Entry 65¢·33.2 shares
Invested
$22
Win Rate
61.9%
Position P&L
$-5
$-5INV $22 · WR 61.9%
N
NoTeacher
Entry 30¢·73.1 shares
Invested
$22
Win Rate
57.0%
Position P&L
+$16
+$16INV $22 · WR 57.0%
X
x.o
Entry 42¢·40 shares
Invested
$17
Win Rate
90.0%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $17 · WR 90.0%
B
big-bird1
Entry 68¢·4.5 shares
Invested
$3
Win Rate
68.1%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $3 · WR 68.1%
Smart Whale Trades
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