Polymarket wallet 0xfcef…9499

Wallet snapshot

Wallet 0xfcef…9499 has made 698 trades on Polymarket across 86 markets, $21K in volume. Most of it is in tech (21%) and sports (15%). On 69 resolved markets the win rate is 71%, lifetime P&L -$41. It holds 15 open positions right now; the largest is Yes on "Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?". Last trade: Oct 14, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Yes · $1,058 · 66¢ → 69¢
• Will the next Claude Opus model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 50% or higher?Yes · $775 · 97¢ → 100¢
• Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?Yes · $761 · 71¢ → 73¢
• Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?No · $745 · 74¢ → 76¢
• Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes · $726 · 15¢ → 14¢
• Will the next Claude Opus model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 60% or higher?No · $320 · 99¢ → 100¢
• US recession by end of 2026?No · $283 · 83¢ → 93¢
• Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Yes · $223 · 46¢ → 66¢
• Will the total domestic gross for Resident Evil be between 150m and 160m by October 31?Yes · $160 · 94¢ → 97¢
• Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes · $155 · 55¢ → 24¢

Latest closed positions

• Gemini 4.0 released by October 31, 2026?Yes · +$117 · Oct 13, 2026
• Gemini 4.0 released by October 23, 2026?Yes · +$13 · Oct 13, 2026
• Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026?Yes · +$212 · Oct 13, 2026
• Will "Resident Evil" 4th Weekend Box Office be at least 7m?Yes · +$0 · Oct 12, 2026
• Will "The Social Reckoning" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 5m and 7m?Yes · +$6 · Oct 12, 2026
• Will "The Social Reckoning" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 5m and 7m?No · -$11 · Oct 12, 2026
• Will "The Social Reckoning" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 5m?

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.