Politics2 days left
Will the National Party win 30-34 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?
YES Price
12¢
12% implied
NO Price
88¢
88% implied
Volume
$8.0K
712 trades
Smart Whales
20
of 139 traders
NZ Election: National Party # of seats?
7 MARKETS · $28.7K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will the National Party win fewer than 25 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election
0¢+6¢$1.4K1/15Will the National Party win fewer than 25 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election+6¢0¢
$1.4K1/15
Will the National Party win 25-29 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election
2¢+6¢$2.0K1/12Will the National Party win 25-29 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election+6¢2¢
$2.0K1/12
Will the National Party win 30-34 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election←
12¢+9¢$8.0K4/15Will the National Party win 30-34 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election←+9¢12¢
$8.0K4/15
Will the National Party win 35-39 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election
44¢−16¢$6.7K5/13Will the National Party win 35-39 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election−16¢44¢
$6.7K5/13
Will the National Party win 40-44 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election
34¢−18¢$7.9K3/16Will the National Party win 40-44 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election−18¢34¢
$7.9K3/16
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
5 YESvs15 NO
25%75%
75% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 73% YES by dollars · 5 YES vs 2 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 93%· net of hedges
+7 new YES$42+7 new NO$199
$57 of this was bought on both sides by the same 4 buyers — left out of momentum
0 smart whales1 smart whale
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $127 is directional: YES $92·NO $34YES Team
Total Invested
$92
Avg Win Rate
63.1%
Aggregate P&L
-$24(-25.7%)
Whales
5
N
nicoco89🥇
Entry 22¢·399.5 shares
Invested
$89
Win Rate
62.6%
Position P&L
$-23
$-23INV $89 · WR 62.6%
D
Dk.Sharma🥈
Entry 30¢·6.9 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
71.0%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $2 · WR 71.0%
P
PollyForge🥉
Entry 16¢·5 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
84.8%
Position P&L
—
—INV $1 · WR 84.8%
E
e46m3
Entry 14¢·4.5 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $1 · WR 79.6%
3
3ffef
Entry 19¢·0.5 shares
Invested
$0
Win Rate
67.9%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $0 · WR 67.9%
NO Team
Total Invested
$268
Avg Win Rate
79.3%
Aggregate P&L
+$94(+35.2%)
Whales
15
L
Lucerys🥇
Entry 80¢·44 shares
Invested
$35
Win Rate
88.0%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $35 · WR 88.0%
Q
quietparcel🥈
Entry 58¢·60 shares
Invested
$35
Win Rate
88.7%
Position P&L
+$18
+$18INV $35 · WR 88.7%
Y
YouSayUpISayDown🥉
Entry 83¢·41 shares
Invested
$34
Win Rate
59.6%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $34 · WR 59.6%
M
musicenthusiast
Entry 72¢·46.5 shares
Invested
$33
Win Rate
58.9%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $33 · WR 58.9%
G
god83743894
Entry 68¢·44 shares
Invested
$30
Win Rate
86.1%
Position P&L
+$9
+$9INV $30 · WR 86.1%
K
korda77
Entry 50¢·50 shares
Invested
$25
Win Rate
85.5%
Position P&L
+$19
+$19INV $25 · WR 85.5%
N
northdrawer
Entry 50¢·40 shares
Invested
$20
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
+$15
+$15INV $20 · WR 87.7%
H
haveagoodday
Entry 89¢·14.3 shares
Invested
$13
Win Rate
87.0%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $13 · WR 87.0%
D
donthackme
Entry 50¢·25.2 shares
Invested
$13
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
+$10
+$10INV $13 · WR 87.7%
C
coldhot
Entry 73¢·14 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
72.7%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $10 · WR 72.7%
Showing top 10 of 15
Smart Whale Trades
Loading trades...
Price History (YES)
Loading chart...
Loaded in 596ms