85 days left
Will the median home value in San Francisco Metro be at least $1,165,000 on December 31?
YES Price
13¢
13% implied
NO Price
87¢
87% implied
Volume
$2.1K
215 trades
Smart Whales
10
of 76 traders
What will the median home value in the SF Metro area be on December 31?
7 MARKETS · $15.0K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
2 YESvs8 NO
20%80%
80% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 17% YES by dollars · 2 YES vs 3 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 99%· net of hedges
+4 new YES$5+6 new NO$66
$10 of this was bought on both sides by the same 2 buyers — left out of momentum
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $48 is directional: YES $8·NO $40YES Team
Total Invested
$8
Avg Win Rate
59.7%
Aggregate P&L
-$2(-30.7%)
Whales
2
NO Team
Total Invested
$98
Avg Win Rate
76.3%
Aggregate P&L
+$20(+20.3%)
Whales
8
M
molodoyy◆Proven🥇
Entry 82¢·43.4 shares
Invested
$36
Win Rate
63.5%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $36 · WR 63.5%
E
e46m3🥈
Entry 52¢·35.6 shares
Invested
$18
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
+$13
+$13INV $18 · WR 79.6%
H
haveagoodday🥉
Entry 82¢·20 shares
Invested
$16
Win Rate
86.6%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $16 · WR 86.6%
Q
qwen4.1.fund
Entry 87¢·13.3 shares
Invested
$12
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $12 · WR 85.9%
G
godblessme2026
Entry 82¢·8 shares
Invested
$7
Win Rate
88.2%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $7 · WR 88.2%
M
mapleggg
Entry 50¢·10 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
86.2%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $5 · WR 86.2%
8
0x841ae518...
Entry 85¢·4.2 shares
Invested
$4
Win Rate
77.3%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $4 · WR 77.3%
_
_test_i075_CAND_11b7
Entry 85¢·1.4 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
58.8%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $1 · WR 58.8%
Smart Whale Trades
Loading trades...
Price History (YES)
Loading chart...
Loaded in 1202ms