Polymarket wallet 0x841a…fc5d

−$25 lifetime P&L · 77.3% win rate · 22 resolved markets · 0x841ae5187f3530d7c7ff04147ac24b0f701afc5d

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Wallet snapshot

Wallet 0x841a…fc5d has made 137 trades on Polymarket across 44 markets, $512 in volume. On 22 resolved markets the win rate is 77.3%, lifetime P&L -$25. It holds 14 open positions right now; the largest is Yes on "Will Pablo Picasso be #1 in global fine art auction turnover for 2026?". Last trade: Oct 16, 2026.

Largest open positions

Will Pablo Picasso be #1 in global fine art auction turnover for 2026?Yes · $18 · 75¢ → 82¢
Will there be 20 to 34 West Nile neuroinvasive disease cases among NYC residents in 2026?Yes · $17 · 24¢ → 71¢
Will the median home value in Austin Metro be less than $397,000 on December 31?Yes · $8 · 35¢ → 46¢
Lam Research (LRCX) Q1 China revenue mix <22%?Yes · $5 · 16¢ → 21¢
Will the Ornn B200 Index hit $3.50 (LOW) by December 31, 2026?No · $5 · 83¢ → 87¢
Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $4.50 and $5.00 on October 31, 2026?Yes · $4 · 14¢ → 10¢
Will the median home value in San Francisco Metro be at least $1,165,000 on December 31?No · $3 · 84¢ → 82¢
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?Yes · $3 · 50¢ → 17¢
Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) at the end of November 2026?Yes · $3 · 66¢ → 69¢
Will Google have the second highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 12?No · $2 · 55¢ → 41¢

Latest closed positions

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on October 16?No · +$1 · Oct 16, 2026
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on October 15?No · -$1 · Oct 15, 2026
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 19°C on October 10?Yes · -$1 · Oct 15, 2026
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 20°C on October 10?Yes · -$1 · Oct 15, 2026
Will there be no next Meta Muse Spark model release by October 31, 2026?Yes · +$1 · Oct 15, 2026
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on October 15?No · +$2 · Oct 15, 2026
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on October 10?

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.