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Economics62 days left

Will the ECB announce no change at the December 2026 meeting?

View on Polymarket
YES Price
14ยข
14% implied
NO Price
86ยข
86% implied
Volume
$9.7K
475 trades
Smart Whales
24
of 125 traders

ECB Interest Rates: December 2026

5 MARKETS ยท $35.1K MATCHED

Smart Money Consensus

5 YESvs19 NO
21%79%
79% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 18% YES by dollars ยท 4 YES vs 2 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 91%ยท net of hedges
+6 new YES$12+7 new NO$110
$3 of this was bought on both sides by the same 1 buyer โ€” left out of momentum
1 smart whale4 smart whales
Both-sides exposure ยท invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides โ€” all $377 is directional: YES $67ยทNO $310
YES Team
Total Invested
$70
Avg Win Rate
61.2%
Aggregate P&L
-$26(-38.0%)
Whales
5
P
podairpod๐Ÿฅ‡
Entry 23ยขยท200 shares
$-18INV $47 ยท WR 59.2%
H
Hugin-og-Munin๐Ÿฅˆ
Entry 28ยขยท40 shares
$-5INV $11 ยท WR 66.8%
P
puravida๐Ÿฅ‰
Entry 33ยขยท20.7 shares
$-4INV $7 ยท WR 59.8%
R
rar111
Entry 14ยขยท16.6 shares
+$0INV $2 ยท WR 61.6%
M
mustbethewater
Entry 12ยขยท20 shares
+$1INV $2 ยท WR 79.6%

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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Smart money 21% YES: the ECB announce no changeโ€ฆ