Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MD-01 House election by 0%-3%?
YES Price
4¢
4% implied
NO Price
96¢
96% implied
Volume
$971
58 trades
Smart Whales
13
of 43 traders
MD-01 House Election Margin of Victory
10 MARKETS · $26.8K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
1 YESvs12 NO
Wallets vs price
Price 4¢
YES 8%NO 92%of Smart Money wallets holding this marketYES price 4¢
Net of both-sides wallets: 100% YES by dollars · 1 YES vs 0 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Teams by
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $10 is directional: YES $10·NO $0YES Team
Total Invested
$10
Avg Win Rate
57.8%
Aggregate P&L
-$3(-25.1%)
Whales
1
NO Team
Total Invested
$237
Avg Win Rate
84.2%
Aggregate P&L
+$11(+4.6%)
Whales
12
L
Lucerys🥇
Entry 96¢·82.1 shares
Invested
$79
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $79 · WR 87.7%
D
donthackme🥈
Entry 96¢·61 shares
Invested
$58
Win Rate
87.4%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $58 · WR 87.4%
Q
quietparcel🥉
Entry 100¢·20 shares
Invested
$20
Win Rate
88.5%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $20 · WR 88.5%
B
balthazar
Entry 95¢·20 shares
Invested
$19
Win Rate
71.9%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $19 · WR 71.9%
N
neverhackme
Entry 94¢·15 shares
Invested
$14
Win Rate
75.2%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $14 · WR 75.2%
M
mustbethewater
Entry 99¢·10.9 shares
Invested
$11
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $11 · WR 79.6%
G
graynotebook19
Entry 99¢·10 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
89.0%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $10 · WR 89.0%
H
Hugin-og-Munin
Entry 99¢·10 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
66.8%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $10 · WR 66.8%
G
godblessme2026
Entry 98¢·7 shares
Invested
$7
Win Rate
87.9%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $7 · WR 87.9%
L
luciebot
Entry 100¢·5 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
80.6%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $5 · WR 80.6%
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