Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CT-04 House election by 35%-40%?
YES Price
2¢
2% implied
NO Price
98¢
98% implied
Volume
$9.9K
319 trades
Smart Whales
12
of 115 traders
CT-04 House Election Margin of Victory
10 MARKETS · $37.1K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
3 YESvs9 NO
Wallets vs price
Price 2¢
YES 25%NO 75%of Smart Money wallets holding this marketYES price 2¢
Net of both-sides wallets: 77% YES by dollars · 2 YES vs 2 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Teams by
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $155 is directional: YES $119·NO $36YES Team
Total Invested
$198
Avg Win Rate
62.3%
Aggregate P&L
-$180(-91.0%)
Whales
3
NO Team
Total Invested
$243
Avg Win Rate
84.4%
Aggregate P&L
+$63(+25.9%)
Whales
9
L
Lucerys🥇
Entry 79¢·95 shares
Invested
$75
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
+$18
+$18INV $75 · WR 87.7%
Q
qwen300.fund🥈
Entry 72¢·69.7 shares
Invested
$50
Win Rate
86.1%
Position P&L
+$18
+$18INV $50 · WR 86.1%
G
god83743894🥉
Entry 75¢·40.2 shares
Invested
$30
Win Rate
86.0%
Position P&L
+$9
+$9INV $30 · WR 86.0%
Q
quietparcel
Entry 98¢·30 shares
Invested
$29
Win Rate
88.5%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $29 · WR 88.5%
P
puskin
Entry 68¢·29.4 shares
Invested
$20
Win Rate
91.7%
Position P&L
+$9
+$9INV $20 · WR 91.7%
R
RayGuy
Entry 87¢·18 shares
Invested
$16
Win Rate
55.9%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $16 · WR 55.9%
B
balthazar
Entry 70¢·20 shares
Invested
$14
Win Rate
71.9%
Position P&L
+$6
+$6INV $14 · WR 71.9%
G
Giant-Upper-Seat
Entry 85¢·9 shares
Invested
$8
Win Rate
82.0%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $8 · WR 82.0%
V
vviejfiejfeiejfiii221
Entry 96¢·1.4 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
73.4%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $1 · WR 73.4%
Smart Whale Trades
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