Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CT-04 House election by 45%-50%?
YES Price
0¢
0% implied
NO Price
100¢
100% implied
Volume
$563
43 trades
Smart Whales
13
of 35 traders
CT-04 House Election Margin of Victory
10 MARKETS · $37.1K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
3 YESvs10 NO
Wallets vs price
Price 0.1¢
YES 23%NO 77%of Smart Money wallets holding this marketYES price 0.1¢
Net of both-sides wallets: 100% YES by dollars · 3 YES vs 0 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Teams by
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $66 is directional: YES $66·NO $0YES Team
Total Invested
$66
Avg Win Rate
59.6%
Aggregate P&L
-$66(-99.3%)
Whales
3
NO Team
Total Invested
$280
Avg Win Rate
81.7%
Aggregate P&L
+$8(+2.9%)
Whales
10
Q
qwen300.fund🥇
Entry 95¢·69.7 shares
Invested
$66
Win Rate
86.1%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $66 · WR 86.1%
L
Lucerys🥈
Entry 97¢·61.8 shares
Invested
$60
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $60 · WR 87.7%
N
northdrawer🥉
Entry 98¢·52 shares
Invested
$51
Win Rate
87.5%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $51 · WR 87.5%
A
anciano
Entry 100¢·40 shares
Invested
$40
Win Rate
63.1%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $40 · WR 63.1%
B
balthazar
Entry 99¢·20 shares
Invested
$20
Win Rate
71.9%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $20 · WR 71.9%
C
C.PM
Entry 98¢·18 shares
Invested
$18
Win Rate
82.9%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $18 · WR 82.9%
S
Spectacular-Ladder-Ant
Entry 99¢·9 shares
Invested
$9
Win Rate
79.3%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $9 · WR 79.3%
B
Bare-Earring
Entry 97¢·9 shares
Invested
$9
Win Rate
83.8%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $9 · WR 83.8%
E
e46m3
Entry 95¢·8 shares
Invested
$8
Win Rate
79.2%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $8 · WR 79.2%
V
vviejfiejfeiejfiii221
Entry 100¢·1.4 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
73.4%
Position P&L
—
—INV $1 · WR 73.4%
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