Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CT-04 House election by 20%-25%?
YES Price
0¢
0% implied
NO Price
100¢
100% implied
Volume
$717
48 trades
Smart Whales
8
of 37 traders
CT-04 House Election Margin of Victory
10 MARKETS · $37.1K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
3 YESvs5 NO
Wallets vs price
Price 0.1¢
YES 38%NO 63%of Smart Money wallets holding this marketYES price 0.1¢
Net of both-sides wallets: 100% YES by dollars · 3 YES vs 0 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Teams by
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $66 is directional: YES $66·NO $0YES Team
Total Invested
$66
Avg Win Rate
59.2%
Aggregate P&L
-$66(-99.3%)
Whales
3
NO Team
Total Invested
$173
Avg Win Rate
84.8%
Aggregate P&L
+$27(+15.7%)
Whales
5
Q
qwen300.fund🥇
Entry 80¢·69.7 shares
Invested
$55
Win Rate
86.1%
Position P&L
+$14
+$14INV $55 · WR 86.1%
L
Lucerys🥈
Entry 81¢·61.8 shares
Invested
$50
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
+$12
+$12INV $50 · WR 87.7%
P
plainfolder🥉
Entry 98¢·40 shares
Invested
$39
Win Rate
86.1%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $39 · WR 86.1%
B
balthazar
Entry 100¢·20 shares
Invested
$20
Win Rate
71.9%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $20 · WR 71.9%
L
Leading-Craft
Entry 94¢·9 shares
Invested
$8
Win Rate
83.9%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $8 · WR 83.9%
Smart Whale Trades
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