Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CT-04 House election by 10%-20%?
YES Price
0¢
0% implied
NO Price
100¢
100% implied
Volume
$447
28 trades
Smart Whales
11
of 23 traders
CT-04 House Election Margin of Victory
10 MARKETS · $37.1K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
3 YESvs8 NO
Wallets vs price
Price 0.1¢
YES 27%NO 73%of Smart Money wallets holding this marketYES price 0.1¢
Net of both-sides wallets: 100% YES by dollars · 3 YES vs 0 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Teams by
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $64 is directional: YES $64·NO $0YES Team
Total Invested
$64
Avg Win Rate
59.2%
Aggregate P&L
-$64(-99.3%)
Whales
3
NO Team
Total Invested
$232
Avg Win Rate
84.5%
Aggregate P&L
+$4(+1.5%)
Whales
8
Q
qwen300.fund🥇
Entry 99¢·69.7 shares
Invested
$69
Win Rate
86.1%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $69 · WR 86.1%
L
Lucerys🥈
Entry 99¢·61.8 shares
Invested
$61
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $61 · WR 87.7%
B
balthazar🥉
Entry 99¢·30 shares
Invested
$30
Win Rate
71.9%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $30 · WR 71.9%
G
god83743894
Entry 99¢·30 shares
Invested
$30
Win Rate
86.0%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $30 · WR 86.0%
G
graynotebook19
Entry 100¢·18 shares
Invested
$18
Win Rate
89.0%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $18 · WR 89.0%
S
Shiny-Pension-Omission
Entry 90¢·9 shares
Invested
$8
Win Rate
82.2%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $8 · WR 82.2%
E
e46m3
Entry 99¢·8 shares
Invested
$8
Win Rate
79.2%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $8 · WR 79.2%
B
Bare-Earring
Entry 88¢·9 shares
Invested
$8
Win Rate
83.8%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $8 · WR 83.8%
Smart Whale Trades
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