Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CT-04 House election by 40%-45%?
YES Price
0¢
0% implied
NO Price
100¢
100% implied
Volume
$5.8K
138 trades
Smart Whales
14
of 71 traders
CT-04 House Election Margin of Victory
10 MARKETS · $37.1K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
5 YESvs9 NO
Wallets vs price
Price 0.1¢
YES 36%NO 64%of Smart Money wallets holding this marketYES price 0.1¢
Net of both-sides wallets: 36% YES by dollars · 5 YES vs 1 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Teams by
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $134 is directional: YES $48·NO $86YES Team
Total Invested
$48
Avg Win Rate
59.7%
Aggregate P&L
-$47(-98.3%)
Whales
5
F
fkpa🥇
Entry 9¢·396.9 shares
Invested
$37
Win Rate
59.6%
Position P&L
$-36
$-36INV $37 · WR 59.6%
R
RayGuy🥈
Entry 7¢·100 shares
Invested
$7
Win Rate
55.9%
Position P&L
$-7
$-7INV $7 · WR 55.9%
S
sweetj🥉
Entry 6¢·40 shares
Invested
$3
Win Rate
71.3%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $3 · WR 71.3%
D
0xd4eb89f8...
Entry 11¢·9.6 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
62.2%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $1 · WR 62.2%
V
vviejfiejfeiejfiii221
Entry 8¢·1.4 shares
Invested
$0
Win Rate
73.4%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $0 · WR 73.4%
NO Team
Total Invested
$307
Avg Win Rate
78.3%
Aggregate P&L
+$29(+9.4%)
Whales
9
A
anciano🥇
Entry 100¢·86.7 shares
Invested
$86
Win Rate
63.1%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $86 · WR 63.1%
Q
qwen300.fund🥈
Entry 97¢·69.7 shares
Invested
$68
Win Rate
86.1%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $68 · WR 86.1%
L
Lucerys🥉
Entry 96¢·61.8 shares
Invested
$59
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $59 · WR 87.7%
G
graynotebook19
Entry 92¢·30 shares
Invested
$28
Win Rate
89.0%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $28 · WR 89.0%
B
balthazar
Entry 98¢·20 shares
Invested
$20
Win Rate
71.9%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $20 · WR 71.9%
M
melchior1248
Entry 92¢·19.7 shares
Invested
$18
Win Rate
70.1%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $18 · WR 70.1%
G
godblessme2026
Entry 92¢·18 shares
Invested
$17
Win Rate
87.9%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $17 · WR 87.9%
P
Pertinent-Nudge-Rancher
Entry 96¢·9 shares
Invested
$9
Win Rate
79.8%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $9 · WR 79.8%
S
smallreceipt
Entry 14¢·22 shares
Invested
$3
Win Rate
88.6%
Position P&L
+$19
+$19INV $3 · WR 88.6%
Smart Whale Trades
Loading trades...
Price History (YES)
Loading chart...
Loaded in 158ms