Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CT-04 House election by 30%-35%?
YES Price
97¢
97% implied
NO Price
3¢
3% implied
Volume
$9.1K
260 trades
Smart Whales
10
of 110 traders
CT-04 House Election Margin of Victory
10 MARKETS · $37.1K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
1 YESvs9 NO
Wallets vs price
Price 97¢
YES 10%NO 90%of Smart Money wallets holding this marketYES price 97¢
Net of both-sides wallets: 100% YES by dollars · 1 YES vs 0 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Teams by
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $54 is directional: YES $54·NO $0YES Team
Total Invested
$54
Avg Win Rate
59.6%
Aggregate P&L
+$631(+1160.3%)
Whales
1
NO Team
Total Invested
$246
Avg Win Rate
73.7%
Aggregate P&L
-$234(-95.2%)
Whales
9
R
RayGuy🥇
Entry 99¢·100 shares
Invested
$99
Win Rate
55.9%
Position P&L
$-96
$-96INV $99 · WR 55.9%
Q
qwen300.fund🥈
Entry 73¢·69.7 shares
Invested
$51
Win Rate
86.1%
Position P&L
$-49
$-49INV $51 · WR 86.1%
L
Lucerys🥉
Entry 43¢·95 shares
Invested
$41
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
$-38
$-38INV $41 · WR 87.7%
S
smallreceipt
Entry 82¢·22 shares
Invested
$18
Win Rate
88.6%
Position P&L
$-17
$-17INV $18 · WR 88.6%
N
northdrawer
Entry 75¢·18 shares
Invested
$14
Win Rate
87.5%
Position P&L
$-13
$-13INV $14 · WR 87.5%
B
balthazar
Entry 30¢·40 shares
Invested
$12
Win Rate
71.9%
Position P&L
$-11
$-11INV $12 · WR 71.9%
E
e46m3
Entry 74¢·8 shares
Invested
$6
Win Rate
79.2%
Position P&L
$-6
$-6INV $6 · WR 79.2%
G
graynotebook19
Entry 18¢·30 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
89.0%
Position P&L
$-4
$-4INV $5 · WR 89.0%
V
vviejfiejfeiejfiii221
Entry 4¢·1.4 shares
Invested
$0
Win Rate
73.4%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $0 · WR 73.4%
Smart Whale Trades
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