Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CT-04 House election by 25%-30%?
YES Price
1¢
1% implied
NO Price
99¢
99% implied
Volume
$3.7K
151 trades
Smart Whales
11
of 75 traders
CT-04 House Election Margin of Victory
10 MARKETS · $37.1K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
4 YESvs7 NO
Wallets vs price
Price 1¢
YES 36%NO 64%of Smart Money wallets holding this marketYES price 1¢
Net of both-sides wallets: 100% YES by dollars · 4 YES vs 0 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Teams by
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $90 is directional: YES $90·NO $0YES Team
Total Invested
$90
Avg Win Rate
58.6%
Aggregate P&L
-$79(-88.3%)
Whales
4
F
fkpa🥇
Entry 8¢·778.1 shares
Invested
$64
Win Rate
59.6%
Position P&L
$-55
$-55INV $64 · WR 59.6%
T
thanksforplayin🥈
Entry 21¢·93.9 shares
Invested
$20
Win Rate
55.9%
Position P&L
$-19
$-19INV $20 · WR 55.9%
R
RayGuy🥉
Entry 7¢·77.8 shares
Invested
$6
Win Rate
55.9%
Position P&L
$-5
$-5INV $6 · WR 55.9%
V
vviejfiejfeiejfiii221
Entry 8¢·1.4 shares
Invested
$0
Win Rate
73.4%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $0 · WR 73.4%
NO Team
Total Invested
$212
Avg Win Rate
85.1%
Aggregate P&L
+$26(+12.3%)
Whales
7
L
Lucerys🥇
Entry 92¢·91.8 shares
Invested
$85
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
+$6
+$6INV $85 · WR 87.7%
Q
qwen300.fund🥈
Entry 86¢·69.7 shares
Invested
$60
Win Rate
86.1%
Position P&L
+$9
+$9INV $60 · WR 86.1%
Q
quietparcel🥉
Entry 79¢·40 shares
Invested
$32
Win Rate
88.5%
Position P&L
+$8
+$8INV $32 · WR 88.5%
M
melchior1248
Entry 91¢·20 shares
Invested
$18
Win Rate
70.1%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $18 · WR 70.1%
V
Vicious-Wannabe
Entry 96¢·9 shares
Invested
$9
Win Rate
81.1%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $9 · WR 81.1%
E
e46m3
Entry 86¢·8 shares
Invested
$7
Win Rate
79.2%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $7 · WR 79.2%
B
balthazar
Entry 84¢·2.7 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
71.9%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $2 · WR 71.9%
Smart Whale Trades
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