Politics758 days left
Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
YES Price
2¢
2% implied
NO Price
98¢
98% implied
Volume
$19.71M
78,949 trades
Smart Whales
748
of 14,654 traders · 6 on both sides
Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
46 MARKETS · $682.84M MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
341 YESvs413 NO
45%55%
55% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 74% YES by dollars · 49 YES vs 49 NO taking a side · 4 on both sides
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 98%· net of hedges
+6 new YES$69+7 new NO$4.1K
$7 of this was bought on both sides by the same 3 buyers — left out of momentum
2 smart whales1 smart whale
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$3.0K of $21.1K is held equally on both sides by 4 wallets — not a bet on the outcome. $3 is hedged across different prices by 2 wallets. True directional: YES $13.4K·NO $4.7KYES Team
Total Invested
$39.4K
Avg Win Rate
67.2%
Aggregate P&L
+$20.7K(+52.5%)
Whales
341
B
bernardbulletin◆Proven🥇
Entry 1¢·608,714.4 shares
Invested
$5.5K
Win Rate
69.3%
Position P&L
+$8826
+$8826INV $5.5K · WR 69.3%
1
11122🥈
Entry 1¢·343,431.7 shares
Invested
$4.1K
Win Rate
60.6%
Position P&L
+$3959
+$3959INV $4.1K · WR 60.6%
S
SZ777🥉both sides
Entry 50¢·2,618 shares·also $1.3K on NO
Invested
$1.3K
Win Rate
89.6%
Position P&L
$-1247
$-1247INV $1.3K · WR 89.6%
B
Brokie
Entry 0¢·314,000 shares
Invested
$1.2K
Win Rate
59.4%
Position P&L
+$6143
+$6143INV $1.2K · WR 59.4%
T
truthteller
Entry 2¢·55,987.6 shares
Invested
$1.0K
Win Rate
57.7%
Position P&L
+$284
+$284INV $1.0K · WR 57.7%
.
.sorryhedged
Entry 1¢·99,916 shares·also $99.1K on NO
Invested
$999
Win Rate
70.6%
Position P&L
+$1349
+$1349INV $999 · WR 70.6%
G
GollumGekko◆Proven
Entry 2¢·21,172.8 shares
Invested
$362
Win Rate
75.9%
Position P&L
+$134
+$134INV $362 · WR 75.9%
9
0x93a93d84...
Entry 1¢·30,000 shares
Invested
$300
Win Rate
59.7%
Position P&L
+$405
+$405INV $300 · WR 59.7%
B
Bperil
Entry 1¢·22,667 shares
Invested
$279
Win Rate
64.5%
Position P&L
+$254
+$254INV $279 · WR 64.5%
K
KingJulienPI
Entry 2¢·15,000 shares
Invested
$227
Win Rate
73.1%
Position P&L
+$126
+$126INV $227 · WR 73.1%
Showing top 10 of 341
NO Team
Total Invested
$143.3K
Avg Win Rate
71.4%
Aggregate P&L
+$856.6K(+597.9%)
Whales
413
.
.sorry🥇hedged
Entry 99¢·99,916 shares·also $999 on YES
Invested
$99.1K
Win Rate
70.6%
Position P&L
$-1549
$-1549INV $99.1K · WR 70.6%
T
The Spirit of Ukraine>UMA🥈
Entry 1¢·440,710.7 shares
Invested
$5.3K
Win Rate
88.7%
Position P&L
+$425100
+$425100INV $5.3K · WR 88.7%
B
basedcigany◆Proven🥉
Entry 99¢·3,560 shares
Invested
$3.5K
Win Rate
62.8%
Position P&L
$-34
$-34INV $3.5K · WR 62.8%
J
J-E-R
Entry 2¢·137,640.6 shares
Invested
$2.3K
Win Rate
58.8%
Position P&L
+$132089
+$132089INV $2.3K · WR 58.8%
P
petanimal
Entry 1¢·125,344.3 shares
Invested
$1.8K
Win Rate
80.8%
Position P&L
+$120584
+$120584INV $1.8K · WR 80.8%
S
SZ777both sides
Entry 50¢·2,618 shares·also $1.3K on YES
Invested
$1.3K
Win Rate
89.6%
Position P&L
+$1247
+$1247INV $1.3K · WR 89.6%
K
KiernanMeister◆Proven
Entry 1¢·50,000 shares
Invested
$450
Win Rate
63.4%
Position P&L
+$48375
+$48375INV $450 · WR 63.4%
7
7G-MAN
Entry 2¢·21,943 shares
Invested
$361
Win Rate
92.5%
Position P&L
+$21066
+$21066INV $361 · WR 92.5%
C
CoffeeLover
Entry 2¢·16,777 shares
Invested
$280
Win Rate
67.1%
Position P&L
+$16103
+$16103INV $280 · WR 67.1%
D
dodged-a-bullet
Entry 2¢·14,500 shares
Invested
$273
Win Rate
58.3%
Position P&L
+$13886
+$13886INV $273 · WR 58.3%
Showing top 10 of 413
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