Politics251 days left

Will Nicolas Dupont-Aignan be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?

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YES Price

67¢

67% implied

NO Price

33¢

33% implied

Volume

$3.2K

123 trades

Smart Whales

9

of 62 traders · 1 on both sides

2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?

46 MARKETS · $584.5K MATCHED

Smart Money

4¢+26¢$10.2K3/7

Bally Bagayoko+26¢4¢

Bernard Cazeneuve

6¢+19¢$12.8K2/6

Bernard Cazeneuve+19¢6¢

Bruno Retailleau

58¢−8¢$18.7K11/11

Bruno Retailleau−8¢58¢

5¢+33¢$5.1K3/5

Carole Delga+33¢5¢

Clémentine Autain

2¢−2¢$2.0K0/2

Clémentine Autain−2¢2¢

81¢−44¢$25.3K7/12

David Lisnard−44¢81¢

10¢+19¢$3.2K2/5

Delphine Batho+19¢10¢

Dominique de Villepin

31¢+13¢$21.7K8/10

Dominique de Villepin+13¢31¢

87¢−31¢$4.8K5/4

Fabien Roussel−31¢87¢

François Asselineau

11¢+16¢$15.6K3/8

François Asselineau+16¢11¢

François Bayrou

5¢+24¢$5.4K2/5

François Bayrou+24¢5¢

François Hollande

19¢+31¢$43.5K23/23

François Hollande+31¢19¢

François Ruffin

22¢−2¢$3.5K3/12

François Ruffin−2¢22¢

21¢+15¢$19.0K8/14

Gabriel Attal+15¢21¢

Gérald Darmanin

4¢+29¢$6.1K3/6

Gérald Darmanin+29¢4¢

5¢+20¢$3.9K1/3

Jean Castex+20¢5¢

Jean-Luc Mélenchon

92¢−15¢$27.2K10/3

Jean-Luc Mélenchon−15¢92¢

Jean-Michel Fauvergue

6¢+8¢$3.7K1/6

Jean-Michel Fauvergue+8¢6¢

Jordan Bardella

8¢+45¢$32.8K10/9

Jordan Bardella+45¢8¢

7¢+20¢$9.8K4/11

Juan Branco+20¢7¢

4¢+7¢$8.4K1/8

Jérôme Guedj+7¢4¢

Karim Bouamrane

5¢+33¢$11.3K5/8

Karim Bouamrane+33¢5¢

Laurent Wauquiez

3¢+20¢$21.6K3/10

Laurent Wauquiez+20¢3¢

5¢+17¢$4.5K2/7

Manuel Bompard+17¢5¢

4¢−4¢$1.2K0/3

Manuel Valls−4¢4¢

92¢−38¢$35.4K15/13

Marine Le Pen−38¢92¢

Marine Tondelier

30¢+9¢$13.6K7/11

Marine Tondelier+9¢30¢

4¢+63¢$3.4K4/2

Mathilde Panot+63¢4¢

Matthieu Pigasse

6¢+34¢$17.5K6/9

Matthieu Pigasse+34¢6¢

6¢+14¢$3.3K1/4

Michel Barnier+14¢6¢

Michel-Edouard Leclerc

6¢+47¢$11.3K8/7

Michel-Edouard Leclerc+47¢6¢

Nathalie Arthaud

86¢−6¢$8.3K4/1

Nathalie Arthaud−6¢86¢

Nicolas Dupont-Aignan←

67¢−27¢$3.2K4/6

Nicolas Dupont-Aignan←−27¢67¢

5¢+24¢$7.5K2/5

Olivier Faure+24¢5¢

Philippe de Villiers

5¢−5¢$4.4K0/6

Philippe de Villiers−5¢5¢

Raphaël Glucksmann

87¢−22¢$30.2K22/12

Raphaël Glucksmann−22¢87¢

18¢+34¢$39.9K11/10

Sarah Knafo+34¢18¢

Sébastien Lecornu

5¢+28¢$6.0K2/4

Sébastien Lecornu+28¢5¢

Ségolène Royal

3¢+26¢$4.6K2/5

Ségolène Royal+26¢3¢

4¢+11¢$15.1K2/11

Teddy Riner+11¢4¢

Valérie Pécresse

4¢+63¢$1.4K2/1

Valérie Pécresse+63¢4¢

Xavier Bertrand

6¢+32¢$11.2K5/8

Xavier Bertrand+32¢6¢

Yaël Braun-Pivet

6¢+32¢$1.9K3/5

Yaël Braun-Pivet+32¢6¢

Édouard Philippe

83¢−29¢$21.5K7/6

Édouard Philippe−29¢83¢

Élisabeth Borne

7¢+13¢$2.4K1/4

Élisabeth Borne+13¢7¢

79¢−19¢$20.7K9/6

Éric Zemmour−19¢79¢

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Smart Money Consensus

4 YESvs6 NO

40%60%

60% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 85% YES by dollars · 3 YES vs 3 NO taking a side

Last 24h FlowYES momentum 66%

+1 new YES$40+1 new NO$20

Both-sides exposure · invested basis · 32% of the money is not a bet

$126 of $395 is hedged across different prices by 1 wallet. True directional: YES $228·NO $41

YES Team

Total Invested

$293

Avg Win Rate

64.1%

Aggregate P&L

+$11(+3.8%)

Whales

4

PascalPro🥇hedged

Entry 62¢·348.6 shares·also $63 on NO

+$17INV $217 · WR 66.7%

Entry 75¢·94.8 shares

$-7INV $71 · WR 55.6%

Elias.Thornwell🥉

Entry 66¢·5 shares

+$0INV $3 · WR 68.0%

Entry 36¢·5.2 shares

+$2INV $2 · WR 74.0%

NO Team

Total Invested

$116

Avg Win Rate

74.6%

Aggregate P&L

-$8(-6.7%)

Whales

6

PascalPro🥇hedged

Entry 34¢·184.5 shares·also $217 on YES

$-2INV $63 · WR 66.7%

DontTrustMeProven🥈

Entry 30¢·100.1 shares

+$3INV $30 · WR 88.0%

0x9037dab5...🥉

Entry 46¢·22.2 shares

$-3INV $10 · WR 85.2%

Entry 40¢·15.6 shares

$-1INV $6 · WR 84.2%

Entry 666¢·0.8 shares

$-5INV $6 · WR 65.2%

Entry 26¢·5.2 shares

+$0INV $1 · WR 59.0%

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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