Politics11 days left
Will National Party win the popular vote in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election by 10% or more?
YES Price
3¢
3% implied
NO Price
97¢
97% implied
Volume
$7.7K
219 trades
Smart Whales
12
of 75 traders
NZ Election: Popular Vote Margin of Victory?
7 MARKETS · $23.5K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
2 YESvs10 NO
17%83%
83% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 0% YES by dollars · 0 YES vs 2 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $22 is directional: YES $0·NO $22YES Team
Total Invested
$263
Avg Win Rate
70.0%
Aggregate P&L
-$247(-94.0%)
Whales
2
NO Team
Total Invested
$1.2K
Avg Win Rate
64.2%
Aggregate P&L
+$986(+79.7%)
Whales
10
S
SnapElectionAvoider◆Proven🥇
Entry 64¢·1,689.7 shares
Invested
$1.1K
Win Rate
63.0%
Position P&L
+$562
+$562INV $1.1K · WR 63.0%
1
1111ffffvvvvv🥈hedged
Entry 16¢·493 shares·also $261 on YES
Invested
$79
Win Rate
70.0%
Position P&L
+$401
+$401INV $79 · WR 70.0%
E
e46m3🥉
Entry 94¢·25.6 shares
Invested
$24
Win Rate
79.4%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $24 · WR 79.4%
C
conherence
Entry 98¢·20 shares
Invested
$20
Win Rate
58.5%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $20 · WR 58.5%
N
northdrawer
Entry 94¢·20 shares
Invested
$19
Win Rate
87.6%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $19 · WR 87.6%
C
cloudyartifact
Entry 90¢·6 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
79.2%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $5 · WR 79.2%
H
Hugin-og-Munin
Entry 95¢·5 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
66.5%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $5 · WR 66.5%
T
trrr12
Entry 90¢·2.2 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
62.8%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $2 · WR 62.8%
C
coldhot
Entry 4¢·18.9 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
72.7%
Position P&L
+$18
+$18INV $1 · WR 72.7%
G
graynotebook19
Entry 1¢·3.2 shares
Invested
$0
Win Rate
89.1%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $0 · WR 89.1%
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