Politics11 days left
Will Labour Party win the popular vote in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election by 15% or more?
YES Price
2¢
2% implied
NO Price
98¢
98% implied
Volume
$866
101 trades
Smart Whales
6
of 41 traders
NZ Election: Popular Vote Margin of Victory?
7 MARKETS · $23.5K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
1 YESvs5 NO
17%83%
83% of smart money holding this market is on NO
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
YES Team
Total Invested
$4
Avg Win Rate
63.0%
Aggregate P&L
-$1(-28.6%)
Whales
1
NO Team
Total Invested
$35
Avg Win Rate
79.8%
Aggregate P&L
+$34(+98.3%)
Whales
5
C
coldhot🥇
Entry 64¢·18.9 shares
Invested
$12
Win Rate
72.7%
Position P&L
+$6
+$6INV $12 · WR 72.7%
G
graynotebook19🥈
Entry 50¢·20 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
89.1%
Position P&L
+$10
+$10INV $10 · WR 89.1%
E
e46m3🥉
Entry 50¢·16 shares
Invested
$8
Win Rate
79.4%
Position P&L
+$8
+$8INV $8 · WR 79.4%
C
cloudyartifact
Entry 81¢·6 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
79.2%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $5 · WR 79.2%
H
Hugin-og-Munin
Entry 1¢·10 shares
Invested
$0
Win Rate
66.5%
Position P&L
+$10
+$10INV $0 · WR 66.5%
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