Politics13 days left
Will Labour Party win the popular vote in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election by 10-15%?
YES Price
7¢
7% implied
NO Price
93¢
93% implied
Volume
$6.2K
392 trades
Smart Whales
10
of 85 traders
NZ Election: Popular Vote Margin of Victory?
7 MARKETS · $23.4K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
1 YESvs9 NO
10%90%
90% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 0% YES by dollars · 0 YES vs 2 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $73 is directional: YES $0·NO $73YES Team
Total Invested
$802
Avg Win Rate
70.0%
Aggregate P&L
-$742(-92.5%)
Whales
1
NO Team
Total Invested
$376
Avg Win Rate
71.3%
Aggregate P&L
+$608(+161.4%)
Whales
9
1
1111ffffvvvvv🥇hedged
Entry 27¢·898.2 shares·also $802 on YES
Invested
$242
Win Rate
70.0%
Position P&L
+$593
+$593INV $242 · WR 70.0%
V
vyemfql🥈
Entry 88¢·80.9 shares
Invested
$71
Win Rate
68.7%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $71 · WR 68.7%
E
e46m3🥉
Entry 84¢·25.6 shares
Invested
$22
Win Rate
79.3%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $22 · WR 79.3%
N
northdrawer
Entry 84¢·20 shares
Invested
$17
Win Rate
87.6%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $17 · WR 87.6%
C
coldhot
Entry 66¢·18.9 shares
Invested
$12
Win Rate
72.7%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $12 · WR 72.7%
C
cloudyartifact
Entry 89¢·6 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
79.2%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $5 · WR 79.2%
H
Hugin-og-Munin
Entry 92¢·5 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
66.5%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $5 · WR 66.5%
T
trrr12
Entry 78¢·2.6 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
62.8%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $2 · WR 62.8%
G
graynotebook19
Entry 67¢·1.6 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
89.2%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $1 · WR 89.2%
Smart Whale Trades
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