YES Price
100¢
100% implied
NO Price
0¢
0% implied
Volume
$158.1K
1,789 trades
Smart Whales
46
of 385 traders
April 2025 Temperature Increase (ºC)
7 MARKETS · $159.7K MATCHEDSmart Money
by between 1.30ºC and 1.34ºC in October 2026
14¢−14¢$1590/1by between 1.30ºC and 1.34ºC in October 2026−14¢14¢
$1590/1
by between 1.35ºC and 1.39ºC in October 2026
23¢—$00/0by between 1.35ºC and 1.39ºC in October 2026—23¢
$00/0
by between 1.40ºC and 1.44ºC in October 2026
44¢—$800/0by between 1.40ºC and 1.44ºC in October 2026—44¢
$800/0
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
18 YESvs28 NO
39%61%
61% of smart money holding this market is on NO
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
YES Team
Total Invested
$38.2K
Avg Win Rate
77.9%
Aggregate P&L
+$27.3K(+71.6%)
Whales
18
A
aenews2🥇hedged
Entry 74¢·24,374.3 shares·also $3.2K on NO
Invested
$18.0K
Win Rate
74.6%
Position P&L
+$6413
+$6413INV $18.0K · WR 74.6%
A
AgricultureSecretary◆Proven🥈
Entry 100¢·12,282 shares
Invested
$12.3K
Win Rate
91.2%
Position P&L
+$12
+$12INV $12.3K · WR 91.2%
R
risk-manager🥉
Entry 91¢·2,300 shares
Invested
$2.1K
Win Rate
73.6%
Position P&L
+$219
+$219INV $2.1K · WR 73.6%
G
gopfan2◆Proven
Entry 76¢·2,265.7 shares
Invested
$1.7K
Win Rate
60.2%
Position P&L
+$551
+$551INV $1.7K · WR 60.2%
N
nagibat0r228
Entry 13¢·12,667.3 shares
Invested
$1.6K
Win Rate
56.4%
Position P&L
+$11045
+$11045INV $1.6K · WR 56.4%
O
Oompa-Loompahedged
Entry 88¢·864.7 shares·also $667 on NO
Invested
$758
Win Rate
69.8%
Position P&L
+$107
+$107INV $758 · WR 69.8%
K
Kapii◆Proven
Entry 6¢·5,009.9 shares
Invested
$305
Win Rate
57.9%
Position P&L
+$4705
+$4705INV $305 · WR 57.9%
B
BirdWatcher1994
Entry 84¢·350 shares
Invested
$294
Win Rate
56.2%
Position P&L
+$56
+$56INV $294 · WR 56.2%
T
TradeDeficitArchitect◆Proven
Entry 34¢·703.6 shares
Invested
$240
Win Rate
63.6%
Position P&L
+$463
+$463INV $240 · WR 63.6%
D
DawnOfYemen
Entry 32¢·666.1 shares
Invested
$215
Win Rate
71.4%
Position P&L
+$451
+$451INV $215 · WR 71.4%
Showing top 10 of 18
NO Team
Total Invested
$19.8K
Avg Win Rate
76.9%
Aggregate P&L
-$19.5K(-98.7%)
Whales
28
Q
QQQ9000🥇
Entry 62¢·5,996.2 shares
Invested
$3.7K
Win Rate
64.1%
Position P&L
$-3723
$-3723INV $3.7K · WR 64.1%
C
Cajetan◆Proven🥈
Entry 24¢·14,942.7 shares
Invested
$3.6K
Win Rate
84.7%
Position P&L
$-3647
$-3647INV $3.6K · WR 84.7%
A
aenews2🥉hedged
Entry 99¢·3,231.7 shares·also $18.0K on YES
Invested
$3.2K
Win Rate
74.6%
Position P&L
$-3189
$-3189INV $3.2K · WR 74.6%
W
wokerjoesleeper
Entry 38¢·8,336.3 shares
Invested
$3.2K
Win Rate
87.6%
Position P&L
$-3179
$-3179INV $3.2K · WR 87.6%
I
influenz.eth
Entry 58¢·2,829.9 shares
Invested
$1.6K
Win Rate
85.8%
Position P&L
$-1645
$-1645INV $1.6K · WR 85.8%
V
Varyag
Entry 94¢·1,000 shares
Invested
$939
Win Rate
69.0%
Position P&L
$-939
$-939INV $939 · WR 69.0%
J
Jmn
Entry 144¢·471.6 shares
Invested
$681
Win Rate
84.9%
Position P&L
$-681
$-681INV $681 · WR 84.9%
O
Oompa-Loompahedged
Entry 95¢·700 shares·also $758 on YES
Invested
$667
Win Rate
69.8%
Position P&L
$-667
$-667INV $667 · WR 69.8%
A
ArmageddonRewardsBilly
Entry 49¢·1,000 shares
Invested
$485
Win Rate
57.7%
Position P&L
$-485
$-485INV $485 · WR 57.7%
S
Sparse-Effectivenesshedged
Entry 118¢·361.5 shares·also $49 on YES
Invested
$425
Win Rate
62.9%
Position P&L
$-425
$-425INV $425 · WR 62.9%
Showing top 10 of 28
Smart Whale Trades
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