PoliticsResolved

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?

YES Price
0¢
0% implied
NO Price
100¢
100% implied
Volume
$1.97M
14,301 trades
Smart Whales
285
of 2,479 traders

Smart Money Consensus

65 YESvs220 NO
23%77%
77% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 100% YES by dollars · 5 YES vs 0 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $706 is directional: YES $706·NO $0

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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Smart money 23% YES: Donald Trump announce that the United…