AdrianCronauer · Polymarket wallet 0xf9c1…39e2

+$226,510 lifetime P&L · 73.3% win rate · 75 resolved markets · 0xf9c1190aa8184bcbe418e6f5321c53b0bfbc39e2

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Wallet snapshot

AdrianCronauer has made 7,902 trades on Polymarket across 76 markets, $14M in volume. Most of it is in geopolitics (83%) and politics (11%). On 75 resolved markets the win rate is 73.3%, lifetime P&L +$227K. It holds no open positions right now. Last trade: May 31, 2026.

Latest closed positions

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No · +$802 · Aug 4, 2026
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No · +$5,863 · Jul 7, 2026
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?No · -$9,259 · Jul 1, 2026
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?Yes · -$800 · Jul 1, 2026
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?No · -$19K · Jun 23, 2026
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No · -$358 · Jun 18, 2026
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No · +$600 · Jun 18, 2026
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?No · +$556 · Jun 15, 2026
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?No · -$723 · Jun 15, 2026
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?Yes · -$3,703 · Jun 12, 2026

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