Will 30-34 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 5-October 11?
YES Price
37¢
37% implied
NO Price
63¢
63% implied
Volume
$5.3K
257 trades
Smart Whales
19
of 80 traders
How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz week of October 5?
6 MARKETS · $35.8K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will 20-24 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 5-October 11
12¢+8¢$5.7K8/33Will 20-24 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 5-October 11+8¢12¢
$5.7K8/33
Will 25-29 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 5-October 11
41¢−32¢$4.9K2/21Will 25-29 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 5-October 11−32¢41¢
$4.9K2/21
Will 30-34 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 5-October 11←
37¢−26¢$5.3K2/16Will 30-34 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 5-October 11←−26¢37¢
$5.3K2/16
Will 35-39 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 5-October 11
10¢+2¢$5.0K2/15Will 35-39 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 5-October 11+2¢10¢
$5.0K2/15
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
2 YESvs17 NO
11%90%
90% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 69% YES by dollars · 2 YES vs 5 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 81%· net of hedges
+11 new YES$263+11 new NO$945
$116 of this was bought on both sides by the same 3 buyers — left out of momentum
1 smart whale2 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $286 is directional: YES $197·NO $90YES Team
Total Invested
$197
Avg Win Rate
71.2%
Aggregate P&L
+$8(+4.2%)
Whales
2
NO Team
Total Invested
$355
Avg Win Rate
77.7%
Aggregate P&L
+$14(+3.9%)
Whales
17
G
gmgmgmgmg🥇
Entry 72¢·68.9 shares
Invested
$50
Win Rate
79.2%
Position P&L
$-6
$-6INV $50 · WR 79.2%
Q
qwen4.1.fund🥈
Entry 71¢·60 shares
Invested
$43
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
$-5
$-5INV $43 · WR 85.9%
M
ms1910🥉
Entry 83¢·50 shares
Invested
$42
Win Rate
57.9%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $42 · WR 57.9%
L
LesterDiamond
Entry 50¢·80 shares
Invested
$40
Win Rate
88.1%
Position P&L
+$10
+$10INV $40 · WR 88.1%
L
Late-Squirrel-Mecca
Entry 50¢·54 shares
Invested
$27
Win Rate
67.7%
Position P&L
+$7
+$7INV $27 · WR 67.7%
S
Secondary-Magic
Entry 80¢·29 shares
Invested
$23
Win Rate
66.3%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $23 · WR 66.3%
S
smallreceipt
Entry 50¢·44 shares
Invested
$22
Win Rate
89.0%
Position P&L
+$6
+$6INV $22 · WR 89.0%
M
melonjeep
Entry 82¢·24.5 shares
Invested
$20
Win Rate
84.2%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $20 · WR 84.2%
B
balthazar
Entry 88¢·19.7 shares
Invested
$17
Win Rate
72.2%
Position P&L
$-5
$-5INV $17 · WR 72.2%
G
graynotebook19
Entry 83¢·20 shares
Invested
$17
Win Rate
89.3%
Position P&L
$-4
$-4INV $17 · WR 89.3%
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