YES Price
0¢
0% implied
NO Price
100¢
100% implied
Volume
$604.3K
4,830 trades
Smart Whales
129
of 1,176 traders · 1 on both sides
Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?
6 MARKETS · $3.76M MATCHEDSmart Money
Will 2026 be the fifth-hottest year on record
0¢+24¢$901.8K30/96Will 2026 be the fifth-hottest year on record+24¢0¢
$901.8K30/96
Will 2026 be the fourth-hottest year on record
0¢+38¢$554.1K62/100Will 2026 be the fourth-hottest year on record+38¢0¢
$554.1K62/100
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record
65¢−24¢$707.0K99/140Will 2026 be the hottest year on record−24¢65¢
$707.0K99/140
Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record
33¢+2¢$464.4K69/129Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record+2¢33¢
$464.4K69/129
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
28 YESvs102 NO
22%79%
79% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 92% YES by dollars · 9 YES vs 12 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 100%
+3 new YES$1+8 new NO$989
1 smart whale4 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$2 of $880 is hedged across different prices by 1 wallet. True directional: YES $806·NO $72YES Team
Total Invested
$1.8K
Avg Win Rate
81.5%
Aggregate P&L
-$797(-43.5%)
Whales
28
G
GollumGekko◆Proven🥇
Entry 18¢·2,239.9 shares
Invested
$399
Win Rate
75.9%
Position P&L
$-396
$-396INV $399 · WR 75.9%
D
donthackme🥈
Entry 17¢·2,227 shares
Invested
$371
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
$-368
$-368INV $371 · WR 87.7%
J
JordanMooney◆Proven🥉
Entry 17¢·89.2 shares
Invested
$15
Win Rate
85.7%
Position P&L
$-15
$-15INV $15 · WR 85.7%
J
jennylulu2016
Entry 10¢·94 shares
Invested
$9
Win Rate
89.1%
Position P&L
$-9
$-9INV $9 · WR 89.1%
K
KickstandBot
Entry 13¢·40 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
66.2%
Position P&L
$-5
$-5INV $5 · WR 66.2%
K
Knowing-Arthur-Ashhedged
Entry 17¢·19 shares·also $1 on NO
Invested
$3
Win Rate
59.7%
Position P&L
$-3
$-3INV $3 · WR 59.7%
A
Anne666
Entry 0¢·2,728.6 shares
Invested
$3
Win Rate
56.9%
Position P&L
—
—INV $3 · WR 56.9%
G
gamblingbling
Entry 17¢·6 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
89.7%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $1 · WR 89.7%
1
0x193ab99f...
Entry 0¢·500 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
73.8%
Position P&L
—
—INV $1 · WR 73.8%
O
OmaJane
Entry 0¢·21.7 shares
Invested
$0
Win Rate
90.2%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $0 · WR 90.2%
Showing top 10 of 28
NO Team
Total Invested
$40.5K
Avg Win Rate
80.9%
Aggregate P&L
+$130.0K(+321.2%)
Whales
102
I
influenz.eth🥇
Entry 64¢·11,338.6 shares
Invested
$7.2K
Win Rate
85.8%
Position P&L
+$4093
+$4093INV $7.2K · WR 85.8%
Q
qwen4.1.fund🥈
Entry 52¢·9,427.4 shares
Invested
$4.9K
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
+$4481
+$4481INV $4.9K · WR 85.9%
G
gopfan2◆Proven🥉
Entry 11¢·30,366 shares
Invested
$3.3K
Win Rate
60.2%
Position P&L
+$26983
+$26983INV $3.3K · WR 60.2%
M
melchior1248
Entry 98¢·3,025.8 shares
Invested
$3.0K
Win Rate
69.2%
Position P&L
+$69
+$69INV $3.0K · WR 69.2%
K
korda77
Entry 97¢·1,957.3 shares
Invested
$1.9K
Win Rate
85.2%
Position P&L
+$48
+$48INV $1.9K · WR 85.2%
I
i18z
Entry 98¢·1,857 shares
Invested
$1.8K
Win Rate
87.1%
Position P&L
+$40
+$40INV $1.8K · WR 87.1%
G
gmgmgmgmg
Entry 50¢·3,396.9 shares
Invested
$1.7K
Win Rate
79.2%
Position P&L
+$1693
+$1693INV $1.7K · WR 79.2%
S
Scornful-Conductor
Entry 98¢·1,695.6 shares
Invested
$1.7K
Win Rate
86.7%
Position P&L
+$38
+$38INV $1.7K · WR 86.7%
A
Anon321321
Entry 99¢·1,669 shares
Invested
$1.6K
Win Rate
86.3%
Position P&L
+$19
+$19INV $1.6K · WR 86.3%
E
e46m3
Entry 97¢·1,215.8 shares
Invested
$1.2K
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
+$30
+$30INV $1.2K · WR 79.6%
Showing top 10 of 102
Smart Whale Trades
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