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140 days left

Will 2026 be the fifth-hottest year on record?

View on Polymarket
YES Price
0¢
0% implied
NO Price
100¢
100% implied
Volume
$902.2K
5,262 trades
Smart Whales
128
of 1,456 traders

Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?

6 MARKETS · $3.77M MATCHED

Smart Money Consensus

31 YESvs97 NO
24%76%
76% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 95% YES by dollars · 12 YES vs 7 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 100%
+3 new YES$67+0 new NO$0
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $654 is directional: YES $621·NO $33
YES Team
Total Invested
$3.8K
Avg Win Rate
66.6%
Aggregate P&L
-$2.5K(-66.4%)
Whales
31
F
fintrader🥇hedged
Entry 98¢·1,094.8 shares·also $71 on NO
$-1072INV $1.1K · WR 61.5%
A
ArmageddonRewardsBilly🥈hedged
Entry 100¢·810 shares·also $3 on NO
$-806INV $808 · WR 57.7%
D
donthackme🥉
Entry 17¢·3,227.6 shares
$-533INV $538 · WR 87.7%
J
JordanMooneyProven
Entry 17¢·150 shares
$-25INV $25 · WR 85.7%
F
fourcoin15m
Entry 17¢·105.8 shares
$-17INV $18 · WR 84.5%
V
vamosgaming
Entry 17¢·75 shares
$-12INV $12 · WR 83.9%
J
jennylulu2016
Entry 10¢·94 shares
$-9INV $9 · WR 89.1%
K
KickstandBot
Entry 13¢·40 shares
$-5INV $5 · WR 66.2%
A
ASDZss
Entry 1¢·298 shares
$-4INV $4 · WR 61.5%
B
0xb0e74df9...
Entry 17¢·24.5 shares
$-4INV $4 · WR 81.8%
Showing top 10 of 31

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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Smart money 24% YES: 2026 be the fifth-hottest year…