Politics18 days left
Will oil be at least $80 on November 2 and the Republicans win the Senate?
YES Price
31¢
31% implied
NO Price
69¢
69% implied
Volume
$18.9K
253 trades
Smart Whales
35
of 89 traders
Who wins the Senate pending oil above or below $80 before the midterms?
4 MARKETS · $437.2K MATCHEDHover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
14 YESvs21 NO
40%60%
60% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 100% YES by dollars · 4 YES vs 0 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 61%· net of hedges
+14 new YES$2.0K+23 new NO$1.3K
$273 of this was bought on both sides by the same 3 buyers — left out of momentum
8 smart whales8 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $8.0K is directional: YES $8.0K·NO $0YES Team
Total Invested
$8.5K
Avg Win Rate
73.7%
Aggregate P&L
+$825(+9.7%)
Whales
14
T
TimRob🥇
Entry 25¢·14,945 shares
Invested
$3.7K
Win Rate
76.0%
Position P&L
+$904
+$904INV $3.7K · WR 76.0%
I
Imbleciar🥈
Entry 31¢·11,526.3 shares
Invested
$3.6K
Win Rate
75.0%
Position P&L
+$6
+$6INV $3.6K · WR 75.0%
C
Car🥉
Entry 31¢·2,064.8 shares
Invested
$648
Win Rate
65.0%
Position P&L
$-7
$-7INV $648 · WR 65.0%
C
conherence
Entry 37¢·811.1 shares
Invested
$299
Win Rate
59.0%
Position P&L
$-48
$-48INV $299 · WR 59.0%
M
Majas
Entry 25¢·261.8 shares
Invested
$65
Win Rate
66.5%
Position P&L
+$16
+$16INV $65 · WR 66.5%
N
NellyDora
Entry 43¢·150.1 shares
Invested
$65
Win Rate
55.6%
Position P&L
$-18
$-18INV $65 · WR 55.6%
5
0x54498e4c...
Entry 49¢·96 shares
Invested
$47
Win Rate
55.4%
Position P&L
$-17
$-17INV $47 · WR 55.4%
M
mad4x
Entry 45¢·82 shares
Invested
$37
Win Rate
57.1%
Position P&L
$-11
$-11INV $37 · WR 57.1%
Showing top 8 of 14
NO Team
Total Invested
$5.3K
Avg Win Rate
78.7%
Aggregate P&L
+$2.2K(+42.1%)
Whales
21
E
e46m3🥇
Entry 50¢·3,246.7 shares
Invested
$1.6K
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
+$615
+$615INV $1.6K · WR 79.6%
L
lpgb🥈
Entry 49¢·2,654.1 shares
Invested
$1.3K
Win Rate
77.3%
Position P&L
+$528
+$528INV $1.3K · WR 77.3%
V
VictorLudorum🥉
Entry 53¢·1,182 shares
Invested
$624
Win Rate
88.1%
Position P&L
+$191
+$191INV $624 · WR 88.1%
A
AlphaGooo
Entry 30¢·1,511.2 shares
Invested
$460
Win Rate
61.0%
Position P&L
+$582
+$582INV $460 · WR 61.0%
A
akroll
Entry 50¢·666.7 shares
Invested
$333
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
+$126
+$126INV $333 · WR 87.7%
Q
qwen4.1.fund
Entry 65¢·396.8 shares
Invested
$258
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
+$15
+$15INV $258 · WR 85.9%
M
mustbethewater
Entry 56¢·380.4 shares
Invested
$215
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
+$47
+$47INV $215 · WR 79.6%
L
Likaseent
Entry 50¢·400 shares
Invested
$200
Win Rate
80.2%
Position P&L
+$76
+$76INV $200 · WR 80.2%
H
Hasty-Worker
Entry 52¢·292.2 shares
Invested
$151
Win Rate
59.9%
Position P&L
+$51
+$51INV $151 · WR 59.9%
G
godblessme2026
Entry 69¢·36.8 shares
Invested
$25
Win Rate
88.2%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $25 · WR 88.2%
Showing top 10 of 21
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