57 days left
No change in Reserve Bank of New Zealand's interest rates at the December 2026 meeting?
YES Price
38¢
38% implied
NO Price
62¢
62% implied
Volume
$11.8K
803 trades
Smart Whales
24
of 157 traders
Reserve Bank of New Zealand decision in December?
12 MARKETS · $323.1K MATCHEDSmart Money
No change in Reserve Bank of New Zealand's interest rates at the October 2026 meeting
44¢−18¢$32.0K13/37No change in Reserve Bank of New Zealand's interest rates at the October 2026 meeting−18¢44¢
$32.0K13/37
No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after November 2026 meeting
10¢+29¢$100.5K30/47No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after November 2026 meeting+29¢10¢
$100.5K30/47
No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the October 2026 meeting
95¢−55¢$64.0K34/50No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the October 2026 meeting−55¢95¢
$64.0K34/50
No change in Bank of Mexico’s interest rates after November 2026 meeting
76¢−42¢$32.5K13/25No change in Bank of Mexico’s interest rates after November 2026 meeting−42¢76¢
$32.5K13/25
No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the November 2026 meeting
78¢−42¢$47.7K21/37No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the November 2026 meeting−42¢78¢
$47.7K21/37
by 50+ bps at the December 2026 meeting
2¢+6¢$2.9K1/12by 50+ bps at the December 2026 meeting+6¢2¢
$2.9K1/12
by 25 bps at the December 2026 meeting
1¢−1¢$3.0K0/16by 25 bps at the December 2026 meeting−1¢1¢
$3.0K0/16
No change in Reserve Bank of New Zealand's interest rates at the December 2026 meeting←
38¢−25¢$11.8K3/20No change in Reserve Bank of New Zealand's interest rates at the December 2026 meeting←−25¢38¢
$11.8K3/20
by 25 bps at the December 2026 meeting
56¢−22¢$18.0K11/21by 25 bps at the December 2026 meeting−22¢56¢
$18.0K11/21
by 50+ bps at the December 2026 meeting
3¢−3¢$3.1K0/15by 50+ bps at the December 2026 meeting−3¢3¢
$3.1K0/15
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
4 YESvs20 NO
17%83%
83% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 60% YES by dollars · 2 YES vs 3 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 81%· net of hedges
+3 new YES$57+6 new NO$211
$15 of this was bought on both sides by the same 1 buyer — left out of momentum
1 smart whale0 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $78 is directional: YES $47·NO $31YES Team
Total Invested
$106
Avg Win Rate
61.7%
Aggregate P&L
-$26(-24.9%)
Whales
4
P
podairpod🥇
Entry 34¢·140 shares
Invested
$47
Win Rate
60.0%
Position P&L
+$6
+$6INV $47 · WR 60.0%
C
cloverpmq2🥈
Entry 86¢·50 shares
Invested
$43
Win Rate
60.1%
Position P&L
$-24
$-24INV $43 · WR 60.1%
N
nefariouskermit🥉
Entry 80¢·20 shares
Invested
$16
Win Rate
70.5%
Position P&L
$-9
$-9INV $16 · WR 70.5%
L
luciebot
Entry 20¢·0.9 shares
Invested
$0
Win Rate
82.9%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $0 · WR 82.9%
NO Team
Total Invested
$1.1K
Avg Win Rate
83.0%
Aggregate P&L
+$50(+4.7%)
Whales
20
E
e46m3🥇
Entry 69¢·611.5 shares
Invested
$423
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
$-40
$-40INV $423 · WR 79.6%
G
graynotebook19🥈
Entry 62¢·189 shares
Invested
$118
Win Rate
89.3%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $118 · WR 89.3%
Q
qwen4.1.fund🥉
Entry 46¢·229.9 shares
Invested
$107
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
+$37
+$37INV $107 · WR 85.9%
D
donthackme
Entry 62¢·133.2 shares
Invested
$83
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $83 · WR 87.7%
G
gmgmgmgmg
Entry 53¢·97.9 shares
Invested
$52
Win Rate
79.2%
Position P&L
+$10
+$10INV $52 · WR 79.2%
G
god83743894
Entry 84¢·58.4 shares
Invested
$49
Win Rate
85.7%
Position P&L
$-13
$-13INV $49 · WR 85.7%
M
merod
Entry 63¢·62 shares
Invested
$39
Win Rate
84.1%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $39 · WR 84.1%
Q
quietparcel
Entry 50¢·60 shares
Invested
$30
Win Rate
88.7%
Position P&L
+$8
+$8INV $30 · WR 88.7%
N
northdrawer
Entry 50¢·42.6 shares
Invested
$21
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $21 · WR 87.7%
G
godblessme2026
Entry 43¢·48.4 shares
Invested
$21
Win Rate
88.2%
Position P&L
+$9
+$9INV $21 · WR 88.2%
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