Politics18 days left
Will there be a Hormuz agreement by October 23, oil below $80, and the Republicans win the Senate?
YES Price
2¢
2% implied
NO Price
98¢
98% implied
Volume
$44.6K
219 trades
Smart Whales
24
of 63 traders
Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement by Oct 23 and oil below $80 before the midterms?
4 MARKETS · $129.2K MATCHEDHover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
9 YESvs15 NO
38%63%
63% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 3% YES by dollars · 4 YES vs 11 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 92%· net of hedges
+14 new YES$119+5 new NO$954
$87 of this was bought on both sides by the same 3 buyers — left out of momentum
4 smart whales2 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $9.7K is directional: YES $259·NO $9.5KYES Team
Total Invested
$1.8K
Avg Win Rate
67.3%
Aggregate P&L
-$1.5K(-84.2%)
Whales
9
C
Car🥇
Entry 97¢·1,258.4 shares
Invested
$1.2K
Win Rate
65.0%
Position P&L
$-1189
$-1189INV $1.2K · WR 65.0%
X
xinyuan🥈
Entry 3¢·7,618.7 shares
Invested
$222
Win Rate
75.0%
Position P&L
$-39
$-39INV $222 · WR 75.0%
K
kitty07🥉
Entry 96¢·210 shares
Invested
$202
Win Rate
72.0%
Position P&L
$-197
$-197INV $202 · WR 72.0%
A
AlphaGooo
Entry 97¢·45.8 shares
Invested
$44
Win Rate
61.0%
Position P&L
$-43
$-43INV $44 · WR 61.0%
1
1walrushedged
Entry 3¢·1,200 shares·also $1.2K on NO
Invested
$34
Win Rate
65.1%
Position P&L
$-7
$-7INV $34 · WR 65.1%
R
rainbowlilies
Entry 3¢·1,008.5 shares
Invested
$28
Win Rate
84.7%
Position P&L
$-4
$-4INV $28 · WR 84.7%
S
ScottyNooo
Entry 2¢·200 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
55.9%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $5 · WR 55.9%
A
0xa169f83d...
Entry 2¢·200.9 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
67.1%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $5 · WR 67.1%
M
Majashedged
Entry 3¢·73 shares·also $194 on NO
Invested
$2
Win Rate
66.5%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $2 · WR 66.5%
NO Team
Total Invested
$10.9K
Avg Win Rate
83.9%
Aggregate P&L
+$234(+2.1%)
Whales
15
L
laureman🥇
Entry 97¢·6,687.2 shares
Invested
$6.5K
Win Rate
90.8%
Position P&L
+$25
+$25INV $6.5K · WR 90.8%
D
Detbet🥈
Entry 97¢·1,200 shares
Invested
$1.2K
Win Rate
85.1%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $1.2K · WR 85.1%
1
1walrus🥉hedged
Entry 97¢·1,200 shares·also $34 on YES
Invested
$1.2K
Win Rate
65.1%
Position P&L
+$8
+$8INV $1.2K · WR 65.1%
T
TronOG
Entry 97¢·1,083.2 shares
Invested
$1.1K
Win Rate
78.0%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $1.1K · WR 78.0%
P
peterfromfamilyguy
Entry 98¢·500 shares
Invested
$489
Win Rate
60.3%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $489 · WR 60.3%
M
Majashedged
Entry 97¢·200 shares·also $2 on YES
Invested
$194
Win Rate
66.5%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $194 · WR 66.5%
T
Tenebrus7◆Proven
Entry 97¢·182 shares
Invested
$177
Win Rate
74.2%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $177 · WR 74.2%
L
liamweber
Entry 96¢·45.5 shares
Invested
$44
Win Rate
70.8%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $44 · WR 70.8%
V
v2boring
Entry 97¢·33.7 shares
Invested
$33
Win Rate
100.0%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $33 · WR 100.0%
D
0xd8c208fe...
Entry 98¢·26.7 shares
Invested
$26
Win Rate
76.0%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $26 · WR 76.0%
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