🐋OrcaLayer
Sign In
Politics31 days left

Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?

View on Polymarket
YES Price
4¢
4% implied
NO Price
96¢
96% implied
Volume
$3.19M
40,846 trades
Smart Whales
361
of 4,537 traders · 6 on both sides

California Governor Election Winner

27 MARKETS · $41.60M MATCHED

Smart Money Consensus

111 YESvs256 NO
30%70%
70% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 0% YES by dollars · 37 YES vs 108 NO taking a side · 4 on both sides
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 97%· net of hedges
+7 new YES$63+18 new NO$2.1K
$1 of this was bought on both sides by the same 1 buyer — left out of momentum
1 smart whale6 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$250 of $209.5K is held equally on both sides by 1 wallet — not a bet on the outcome. $6 is hedged across different prices by 5 wallets. True directional: YES $547·NO $208.7K
YES Team
Total Invested
$27.1K
Avg Win Rate
57.4%
Aggregate P&L
-$4.7K(-17.5%)
Whales
111
C
Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed🥇hedged
Entry 96¢·4,987.1 shares·also $226 on NO
$-4561INV $4.8K · WR 55.3%
C
choohkz23🥈
Entry 7¢·2,041 shares
$-51INV $133 · WR 71.1%
T
tthhkl🥉both sides
Entry 50¢·250 shares·also $125 on NO
$-115INV $125 · WR 69.2%
B
btobbes
Entry 10¢·1,052 shares
$-57INV $100 · WR 90.0%
I
Illustrious-Jewelry
Entry 7¢·1,150 shares
$-32INV $79 · WR 74.5%
4
0x4e25605f...hedged
Entry 2¢·1,882.8 shares·also $1 on NO
+$36INV $40 · WR 69.4%
T
Trading4Fridge
Entry 7¢·510.8 shares
$-14INV $35 · WR 57.6%
B
BettingBoi
Entry 6¢·500 shares
$-11INV $32 · WR 62.8%
J
jkldskwoej
Entry 4¢·498.7 shares
$-2INV $22 · WR 66.1%
C
0xc9f197ff...
Entry 9¢·224.8 shares
$-12INV $21 · WR 63.1%
Showing top 10 of 111

Smart Whale Trades

Loading trades...

Price History (YES)

Loading chart...
Loaded in 444ms
Smart money 30% YES: Steve Hilton win the California…