Politics31 days left
Will Nicole Shanahan win the California Governor Election in 2026?
YES Price
0¢
0% implied
NO Price
100¢
100% implied
Volume
$1.78M
19,383 trades
Smart Whales
99
of 2,488 traders
California Governor Election Winner
27 MARKETS · $41.62M MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
36 YESvs63 NO
36%64%
64% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 98% YES by dollars · 29 YES vs 2 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $561 is directional: YES $548·NO $14YES Team
Total Invested
$548
Avg Win Rate
75.8%
Aggregate P&L
-$443(-81.0%)
Whales
36
C
caviaro🥇
Entry 0¢·188,008.8 shares
Invested
$188
Win Rate
67.4%
Position P&L
$-94
$-94INV $188 · WR 67.4%
D
donthackme🥈
Entry 2¢·4,834.8 shares
Invested
$107
Win Rate
87.6%
Position P&L
$-105
$-105INV $107 · WR 87.6%
L
Lucerys🥉
Entry 2¢·3,012.4 shares
Invested
$67
Win Rate
87.1%
Position P&L
$-65
$-65INV $67 · WR 87.1%
H
Hasty-Worker
Entry 2¢·1,241 shares
Invested
$28
Win Rate
59.7%
Position P&L
$-27
$-27INV $28 · WR 59.7%
D
0xd32ce89f...
Entry 2¢·1,170.4 shares
Invested
$26
Win Rate
83.3%
Position P&L
$-25
$-25INV $26 · WR 83.3%
B
Bikesarethebest◆Proven
Entry 2¢·1,175 shares
Invested
$20
Win Rate
56.1%
Position P&L
$-20
$-20INV $20 · WR 56.1%
A
AngryRhino
Entry 2¢·843.2 shares
Invested
$19
Win Rate
66.4%
Position P&L
$-18
$-18INV $19 · WR 66.4%
B
Binotto
Entry 2¢·879.8 shares
Invested
$17
Win Rate
65.2%
Position P&L
$-17
$-17INV $17 · WR 65.2%
A
avengers2357avengers
Entry 2¢·724 shares
Invested
$16
Win Rate
94.8%
Position P&L
$-16
$-16INV $16 · WR 94.8%
G
Gucky-45
Entry 0¢·2,000 shares
Invested
$9
Win Rate
89.5%
Position P&L
$-8
$-8INV $9 · WR 89.5%
Showing top 10 of 36
NO Team
Total Invested
$80.7K
Avg Win Rate
83.6%
Aggregate P&L
+$43.7K(+54.2%)
Whales
63
E
e46m3🥇
Entry 100¢·19,461.5 shares
Invested
$19.4K
Win Rate
79.3%
Position P&L
+$16
+$16INV $19.4K · WR 79.3%
I
influenz.eth🥈
Entry 94¢·18,604.9 shares
Invested
$17.5K
Win Rate
85.8%
Position P&L
+$1135
+$1135INV $17.5K · WR 85.8%
S
Scornful-Conductor🥉
Entry 83¢·7,407.2 shares
Invested
$6.2K
Win Rate
86.7%
Position P&L
+$1236
+$1236INV $6.2K · WR 86.7%
B
baE92E7959377B18Fd63b772C74147724E0.E7475
Entry 100¢·5,281.2 shares
Invested
$5.3K
Win Rate
87.0%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $5.3K · WR 87.0%
N
Novus0rdoSeclorum
Entry 100¢·4,265.8 shares
Invested
$4.3K
Win Rate
83.8%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $4.3K · WR 83.8%
B
Bigggggggg
Entry 45¢·9,283.2 shares
Invested
$4.2K
Win Rate
85.8%
Position P&L
+$5061
+$5061INV $4.2K · WR 85.8%
B
balthazar
Entry 24¢·17,153.2 shares
Invested
$4.1K
Win Rate
72.2%
Position P&L
+$13040
+$13040INV $4.1K · WR 72.2%
P
plainfolder
Entry 100¢·3,976 shares
Invested
$4.0K
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $4.0K · WR 85.9%
N
northdrawer
Entry 100¢·2,980 shares
Invested
$3.0K
Win Rate
87.6%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $3.0K · WR 87.6%
I
i18z
Entry 100¢·2,624.3 shares
Invested
$2.6K
Win Rate
87.0%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $2.6K · WR 87.0%
Showing top 10 of 63
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