Politics31 days left
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?
YES Price
96¢
96% implied
NO Price
4¢
4% implied
Volume
$2.09M
25,116 trades
Smart Whales
429
of 4,001 traders · 4 on both sides
California Governor Election Winner
27 MARKETS · $41.60M MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
252 YESvs181 NO
58%42%
58% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 98% YES by dollars · 215 YES vs 50 NO taking a side · 1 on both sides
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 98%· net of hedges
+24 new YES$533+8 new NO$12
$8 of this was bought on both sides by the same 3 buyers — left out of momentum
3 smart whales3 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$47 of $279.9K is hedged across different prices by 4 wallets. True directional: YES $275.4K·NO $4.4KYES Team
Total Invested
$281.3K
Avg Win Rate
73.9%
Aggregate P&L
+$44.4K(+15.8%)
Whales
252
A
AngryRhino🥇
Entry 92¢·34,708.1 shares
Invested
$32.1K
Win Rate
66.4%
Position P&L
+$1202
+$1202INV $32.1K · WR 66.4%
S
Seutervoinen◆Proven🥈
Entry 94¢·32,200.2 shares
Invested
$30.1K
Win Rate
91.7%
Position P&L
+$734
+$734INV $30.1K · WR 91.7%
S
SAPolitcsSeer🥉
Entry 84¢·26,328.7 shares
Invested
$22.1K
Win Rate
91.8%
Position P&L
+$3170
+$3170INV $22.1K · WR 91.8%
4
456ythgbvcadscvb
Entry 95¢·19,522.2 shares
Invested
$18.5K
Win Rate
77.7%
Position P&L
+$267
+$267INV $18.5K · WR 77.7%
S
studmuffin6969
Entry 90¢·17,853.8 shares
Invested
$16.0K
Win Rate
60.1%
Position P&L
+$1100
+$1100INV $16.0K · WR 60.1%
G
gopfan2◆Proven
Entry 94¢·12,224.2 shares
Invested
$11.5K
Win Rate
60.0%
Position P&L
+$205
+$205INV $11.5K · WR 60.0%
M
macrosteaks◆Proven
Entry 95¢·11,505.9 shares
Invested
$10.9K
Win Rate
60.3%
Position P&L
+$161
+$161INV $10.9K · WR 60.3%
H
HerlihyM92
Entry 93¢·11,716.6 shares
Invested
$10.8K
Win Rate
55.7%
Position P&L
+$398
+$398INV $10.8K · WR 55.7%
L
LinaBell
Entry 75¢·13,495.7 shares
Invested
$10.1K
Win Rate
64.9%
Position P&L
+$2835
+$2835INV $10.1K · WR 64.9%
B
bosshog◆Proven
Entry 72¢·13,937.2 shares
Invested
$10.0K
Win Rate
70.7%
Position P&L
+$3400
+$3400INV $10.0K · WR 70.7%
Showing top 10 of 252
NO Team
Total Invested
$102.8K
Avg Win Rate
83.3%
Aggregate P&L
-$49.8K(-48.4%)
Whales
181
F
FastTrackFund🥇
Entry 105¢·13,948.4 shares
Invested
$14.6K
Win Rate
100.0%
Position P&L
$-14046
$-14046INV $14.6K · WR 100.0%
I
influenz.eth🥈
Entry 77¢·17,246 shares
Invested
$13.3K
Win Rate
85.8%
Position P&L
$-12633
$-12633INV $13.3K · WR 85.8%
S
sweetj🥉
Entry 98¢·6,066.6 shares
Invested
$5.9K
Win Rate
75.2%
Position P&L
$-5694
$-5694INV $5.9K · WR 75.2%
C
Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed
Entry 94¢·5,967.1 shares
Invested
$5.6K
Win Rate
55.3%
Position P&L
$-5387
$-5387INV $5.6K · WR 55.3%
S
Scornful-Conductor
Entry 82¢·6,184.7 shares
Invested
$5.1K
Win Rate
86.7%
Position P&L
$-4809
$-4809INV $5.1K · WR 86.7%
2
0x257869e5...
Entry 61¢·5,744 shares
Invested
$3.5K
Win Rate
55.1%
Position P&L
$-3286
$-3286INV $3.5K · WR 55.1%
G
Gucky-45
Entry 31¢·6,032.9 shares
Invested
$1.9K
Win Rate
89.5%
Position P&L
$-1651
$-1651INV $1.9K · WR 89.5%
B
Bigggggggg
Entry 22¢·8,409.6 shares
Invested
$1.8K
Win Rate
85.7%
Position P&L
$-1497
$-1497INV $1.8K · WR 85.7%
B
btobbes
Entry 66¢·762.6 shares
Invested
$500
Win Rate
90.0%
Position P&L
$-469
$-469INV $500 · WR 90.0%
C
0xc9f197ff...
Entry 21¢·480.8 shares
Invested
$103
Win Rate
63.1%
Position P&L
$-83
$-83INV $103 · WR 63.1%
Showing top 10 of 181
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