Politics734 days left
Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
YES Price
33¢
33% implied
NO Price
67¢
67% implied
Volume
$1.30M
8,766 trades
Smart Whales
269
of 2,764 traders · 4 on both sides
Which party wins 2028 US Presidential Election?
6 MARKETS · $2.63M MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
142 YESvs131 NO
52%48%
52% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 61% YES by dollars · 66 YES vs 21 NO taking a side · 3 on both sides
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 53%· net of hedges
+21 new YES$8.2K+21 new NO$9.0K
$610 of this was bought on both sides by the same 9 buyers — left out of momentum
1 smart whale4 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis · 55% of the money is not a bet
$50.2K of $91.2K is held equally on both sides by 3 wallets — not a bet on the outcome. $1 is hedged across different prices by 1 wallet. True directional: YES $25.2K·NO $15.8KYES Team
Total Invested
$74.5K
Avg Win Rate
70.8%
Aggregate P&L
-$20.1K(-26.9%)
Whales
142
R
rwo🥇both sides
Entry 50¢·50,000 shares·also $25.0K on NO
Invested
$25.0K
Win Rate
83.1%
Position P&L
$-8750
$-8750INV $25.0K · WR 83.1%
1
11122🥈
Entry 41¢·40,146.8 shares
Invested
$16.3K
Win Rate
60.6%
Position P&L
$-3271
$-3271INV $16.3K · WR 60.6%
A
AJM96🥉hedged
Entry 61¢·13,191.1 shares·also $5.9K on NO
Invested
$8.1K
Win Rate
58.5%
Position P&L
$-3772
$-3772INV $8.1K · WR 58.5%
I
ImJustKenhedged
Entry 45¢·15,554.9 shares·also $8.2K on NO
Invested
$7.0K
Win Rate
61.2%
Position P&L
$-1944
$-1944INV $7.0K · WR 61.2%
L
LinaBell
Entry 35¢·7,790.1 shares
Invested
$2.8K
Win Rate
65.1%
Position P&L
$-225
$-225INV $2.8K · WR 65.1%
N
ndb1
Entry 31¢·5,364 shares
Invested
$1.7K
Win Rate
73.2%
Position P&L
+$80
+$80INV $1.7K · WR 73.2%
R
risk-managerhedged
Entry 52¢·3,000 shares·also $2.2K on NO
Invested
$1.5K
Win Rate
73.6%
Position P&L
$-574
$-574INV $1.5K · WR 73.6%
R
Roflan-ludomanhedged
Entry 53¢·2,624.1 shares·also $1.2K on NO
Invested
$1.4K
Win Rate
62.2%
Position P&L
$-550
$-550INV $1.4K · WR 62.2%
K
kinderSmanhedged
Entry 46¢·1,986.1 shares·also $1.1K on NO
Invested
$910
Win Rate
95.7%
Position P&L
$-264
$-264INV $910 · WR 95.7%
K
kongehund
Entry 40¢·1,384 shares
Invested
$553
Win Rate
69.0%
Position P&L
$-103
$-103INV $553 · WR 69.0%
Showing top 10 of 142
NO Team
Total Invested
$108.5K
Avg Win Rate
72.1%
Aggregate P&L
+$30.2K(+27.8%)
Whales
131
M
MRF◆Proven🥇
Entry 53¢·47,447.2 shares
Invested
$25.2K
Win Rate
67.0%
Position P&L
+$6802
+$6802INV $25.2K · WR 67.0%
R
rwo🥈both sides
Entry 50¢·50,000 shares·also $25.0K on YES
Invested
$25.0K
Win Rate
83.1%
Position P&L
+$8750
+$8750INV $25.0K · WR 83.1%
B
Brokie🥉
Entry 56¢·15,980.7 shares
Invested
$8.9K
Win Rate
59.3%
Position P&L
+$1838
+$1838INV $8.9K · WR 59.3%
I
ImJustKenhedged
Entry 53¢·15,554.9 shares·also $7.0K on YES
Invested
$8.2K
Win Rate
61.2%
Position P&L
+$2255
+$2255INV $8.2K · WR 61.2%
A
AJM96hedged
Entry 45¢·13,191.1 shares·also $8.1K on YES
Invested
$5.9K
Win Rate
58.5%
Position P&L
+$2966
+$2966INV $5.9K · WR 58.5%
R
rdba
Entry 53¢·6,263.7 shares
Invested
$3.3K
Win Rate
74.2%
Position P&L
+$918
+$918INV $3.3K · WR 74.2%
R
risk-managerhedged
Entry 45¢·5,000 shares·also $1.5K on YES
Invested
$2.2K
Win Rate
73.6%
Position P&L
+$1125
+$1125INV $2.2K · WR 73.6%
D
donthackme
Entry 50¢·4,136.5 shares
Invested
$2.1K
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
+$724
+$724INV $2.1K · WR 87.7%
W
wokerjoesleeper
Entry 48¢·4,060 shares
Invested
$1.9K
Win Rate
87.5%
Position P&L
+$792
+$792INV $1.9K · WR 87.5%
P
petanimal
Entry 46¢·4,200 shares
Invested
$1.9K
Win Rate
80.8%
Position P&L
+$893
+$893INV $1.9K · WR 80.8%
Showing top 10 of 131
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