Politics734 days left

Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

YES Price
68¢
68% implied
NO Price
32¢
32% implied
Volume
$1.34M
8,038 trades
Smart Whales
289
of 2,066 traders · 31 on both sides

Smart Money Consensus

172 YESvs148 NO
54%46%
54% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 36% YES by dollars · 84 YES vs 15 NO taking a side · 27 on both sides
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 92%· net of hedges
+36 new YES$16.1K+24 new NO$2.0K
$1.4K of this was bought on both sides by the same 11 buyers — left out of momentum
11 smart whales3 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis · 97% of the money is not a bet
$1.21M of $1.28M is held equally on both sides by 27 wallets — not a bet on the outcome. $27.0K is hedged across different prices by 4 wallets. True directional: YES $15.3K·NO $27.7K
YES Team
Total Invested
$655.5K
Avg Win Rate
74.6%
Aggregate P&L
+$225.2K(+34.4%)
Whales
172

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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Smart money 54% YES: the Democrats win the 2028 US…