Politics778 days left

Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

YES Price
65Ā¢
65% implied
NO Price
35Ā¢
35% implied
Volume
$1.17M
7,364 trades
Smart Whales
308
of 1,930 traders Ā· 40 on both sides

Smart Money Consensus

192 YESvs156 NO
55%45%
55% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 35% YES by dollars Ā· 94 YES vs 19 NO taking a side Ā· 36 on both sides
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 67%Ā· net of hedges
+13 new YES$6.6K+18 new NO$3.8K
$1.9K of this was bought on both sides by the same 5 buyers — left out of momentum
4 smart whales1 smart whale
Both-sides exposure Ā· invested basis Ā· 90% of the money is not a bet
$447.2K of $526.1K is held equally on both sides by 36 wallets — not a bet on the outcome. $27.1K is hedged across different prices by 4 wallets. True directional: YES $18.2KĀ·NO $33.5K

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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Smart money 55% YES: the Democrats win the 2028 US…