Will Luis Inácio (Lula) da Silva win more than 56% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
YES Price
0¢
0% implied
NO Price
100¢
100% implied
Volume
$1.7K
23 trades
Smart Whales
10
of 17 traders
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Lula Vote Share? (Higher Strikes)
6 MARKETS · $37.3K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will Luis Inácio (Lula) da Silva win less than 44% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election
2¢+18¢$14.4K2/8Will Luis Inácio (Lula) da Silva win less than 44% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election+18¢2¢
$14.4K2/8
Will Luis Inácio (Lula) da Silva win between 44% and 47% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election
98¢−85¢$12.9K2/14Will Luis Inácio (Lula) da Silva win between 44% and 47% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election−85¢98¢
$12.9K2/14
Will Luis Inácio (Lula) da Silva win between 47% and 50% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election
0¢+9¢$5.3K1/10Will Luis Inácio (Lula) da Silva win between 47% and 50% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election+9¢0¢
$5.3K1/10
Will Luis Inácio (Lula) da Silva win between 50% and 53% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election
0¢+30¢$6743/7Will Luis Inácio (Lula) da Silva win between 50% and 53% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election+30¢0¢
$6743/7
Will Luis Inácio (Lula) da Silva win between 53% and 56% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election
0¢+18¢$2.4K2/9Will Luis Inácio (Lula) da Silva win between 53% and 56% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election+18¢0¢
$2.4K2/9
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Smart Money Consensus
1 YESvs9 NO
10%90%
90% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 28% YES by dollars · 1 YES vs 2 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $600 is directional: YES $169·NO $431YES Team
Total Invested
$169
Avg Win Rate
85.8%
Aggregate P&L
-$169(-99.7%)
Whales
1
NO Team
Total Invested
$831
Avg Win Rate
74.7%
Aggregate P&L
+$525(+63.2%)
Whales
9
J
JasonPunos🥇
Entry 100¢·430.5 shares
Invested
$430
Win Rate
74.1%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $430 · WR 74.1%
S
Spotless-Investigator-Overcoat🥈
Entry 100¢·160.9 shares
Invested
$161
Win Rate
59.6%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $161 · WR 59.6%
L
Lucerys🥉
Entry 100¢·120 shares
Invested
$120
Win Rate
87.1%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $120 · WR 87.1%
N
northdrawer
Entry 80¢·100 shares
Invested
$80
Win Rate
87.6%
Position P&L
+$20
+$20INV $80 · WR 87.6%
Q
quietparcel
Entry 100¢·14 shares
Invested
$14
Win Rate
88.7%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $14 · WR 88.7%
M
mapleggg
Entry 100¢·10 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $10 · WR 85.9%
B
Brave-Timbale-Witch
Entry 100¢·10 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
62.9%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $10 · WR 62.9%
V
vinii
Entry 1¢·513 shares
Invested
$6
Win Rate
65.8%
Position P&L
+$507
+$507INV $6 · WR 65.8%
F
Famous-Sovereignty
Entry 99¢·1 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
90.6%
Position P&L
—
—INV $1 · WR 90.6%
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