Will Luis Inácio (Lula) da Silva win between 53% and 56% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
YES Price
0¢
0% implied
NO Price
100¢
100% implied
Volume
$2.4K
56 trades
Smart Whales
18
of 31 traders
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Lula Vote Share? (Higher Strikes)
6 MARKETS · $37.3K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will Luis Inácio (Lula) da Silva win less than 44% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election
2¢+18¢$14.4K2/8Will Luis Inácio (Lula) da Silva win less than 44% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election+18¢2¢
$14.4K2/8
Will Luis Inácio (Lula) da Silva win between 44% and 47% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election
98¢−85¢$12.9K2/14Will Luis Inácio (Lula) da Silva win between 44% and 47% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election−85¢98¢
$12.9K2/14
Will Luis Inácio (Lula) da Silva win between 47% and 50% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election
0¢+9¢$5.3K1/10Will Luis Inácio (Lula) da Silva win between 47% and 50% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election+9¢0¢
$5.3K1/10
Will Luis Inácio (Lula) da Silva win between 50% and 53% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election
0¢+30¢$6743/7Will Luis Inácio (Lula) da Silva win between 50% and 53% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election+30¢0¢
$6743/7
Will Luis Inácio (Lula) da Silva win between 53% and 56% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election←
0¢+18¢$2.4K2/9Will Luis Inácio (Lula) da Silva win between 53% and 56% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election←+18¢0¢
$2.4K2/9
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Smart Money Consensus
3 YESvs15 NO
17%83%
83% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 32% YES by dollars · 3 YES vs 5 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 100%
+1 new YES$0+10 new NO$1.2K
0 smart whales9 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $490 is directional: YES $158·NO $332YES Team
Total Invested
$158
Avg Win Rate
84.1%
Aggregate P&L
-$157(-99.4%)
Whales
3
NO Team
Total Invested
$1.3K
Avg Win Rate
75.5%
Aggregate P&L
+$75(+5.7%)
Whales
15
L
Lucerys🥇
Entry 100¢·346.8 shares
Invested
$346
Win Rate
87.1%
Position P&L
—
—INV $346 · WR 87.1%
C
Classic-Loggia🥈
Entry 100¢·171.8 shares
Invested
$172
Win Rate
59.5%
Position P&L
—
—INV $172 · WR 59.5%
H
Hasty-Worker🥉
Entry 78¢·171.4 shares
Invested
$133
Win Rate
59.7%
Position P&L
+$38
+$38INV $133 · WR 59.7%
P
Pricey-Million
Entry 100¢·117.9 shares
Invested
$118
Win Rate
59.6%
Position P&L
—
—INV $118 · WR 59.6%
G
godblessme2026
Entry 100¢·116 shares
Invested
$116
Win Rate
88.2%
Position P&L
—
—INV $116 · WR 88.2%
S
smallreceipt
Entry 100¢·98 shares
Invested
$98
Win Rate
89.0%
Position P&L
—
—INV $98 · WR 89.0%
G
god83743894
Entry 100¢·80 shares
Invested
$80
Win Rate
85.6%
Position P&L
—
—INV $80 · WR 85.6%
V
vinii
Entry 99¢·66.8 shares
Invested
$66
Win Rate
65.8%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $66 · WR 65.8%
T
TheOne777◆Proven
Entry 93¢·53 shares
Invested
$49
Win Rate
75.8%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $49 · WR 75.8%
G
graynotebook19
Entry 59¢·80 shares
Invested
$47
Win Rate
89.3%
Position P&L
+$33
+$33INV $47 · WR 89.3%
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