YES Price
0¢
0% implied
NO Price
100¢
100% implied
Volume
$495.6K
2,396 trades
Smart Whales
129
of 533 traders
February 2025 Temperature Increase (ºC)
7 MARKETS · $497.5K MATCHEDSmart Money
by between 1.30ºC and 1.34ºC in October 2026
28¢−28¢$2440/1by between 1.30ºC and 1.34ºC in October 2026−28¢28¢
$2440/1
by between 1.35ºC and 1.39ºC in October 2026
24¢—$1470/0by between 1.35ºC and 1.39ºC in October 2026—24¢
$1470/0
by between 1.40ºC and 1.44ºC in October 2026
42¢—$950/0by between 1.40ºC and 1.44ºC in October 2026—42¢
$950/0
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
38 YESvs91 NO
30%71%
71% of smart money holding this market is on NO
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
YES Team
Total Invested
$60.3K
Avg Win Rate
79.1%
Aggregate P&L
-$57.5K(-95.3%)
Whales
38
L
Lutharos🥇hedged
Entry 99¢·41,326 shares·also $289 on NO
Invested
$41.0K
Win Rate
84.9%
Position P&L
$-40995
$-40995INV $41.0K · WR 84.9%
R
russell110320🥈hedged
Entry 68¢·11,270.7 shares·also $8.9K on NO
Invested
$7.6K
Win Rate
67.5%
Position P&L
$-7630
$-7630INV $7.6K · WR 67.5%
Q
QQQ9000🥉hedged
Entry 80¢·5,227.9 shares·also $5.4K on NO
Invested
$4.2K
Win Rate
64.1%
Position P&L
$-4203
$-4203INV $4.2K · WR 64.1%
K
Kapiihedged
Entry 87¢·2,970.9 shares·also $1.9K on NO
Invested
$2.6K
Win Rate
57.9%
Position P&L
$-2589
$-2589INV $2.6K · WR 57.9%
P
PermanentInsomniachedged
Entry 76¢·1,211.9 shares·also $529 on NO
Invested
$919
Win Rate
66.7%
Position P&L
$-919
$-919INV $919 · WR 66.7%
A
ArmageddonRewardsBillyhedged
Entry 13¢·4,672.5 shares·also $628 on NO
Invested
$599
Win Rate
57.7%
Position P&L
$-599
$-599INV $599 · WR 57.7%
B
BeneGesseritVoicehedged
Entry 49¢·565.5 shares·also $6 on NO
Invested
$278
Win Rate
73.0%
Position P&L
$-278
$-278INV $278 · WR 73.0%
M
mantou11
Entry 7¢·1,897.8 shares
Invested
$129
Win Rate
56.7%
Position P&L
$-129
$-129INV $129 · WR 56.7%
R
risk-manager
Entry 7¢·1,568.9 shares
Invested
$115
Win Rate
73.6%
Position P&L
$-115
$-115INV $115 · WR 73.6%
R
Rr55◆Proven
Entry 1¢·600 shares
Invested
$8
Win Rate
73.2%
Position P&L
$-8
$-8INV $8 · WR 73.2%
Showing top 10 of 38
NO Team
Total Invested
$42.5K
Avg Win Rate
72.9%
Aggregate P&L
+$139.9K(+328.8%)
Whales
91
R
russell110320🥇hedged
Entry 79¢·11,270.7 shares·also $7.6K on YES
Invested
$8.9K
Win Rate
67.5%
Position P&L
+$2373
+$2373INV $8.9K · WR 67.5%
Q
QQQ9000🥈hedged
Entry 18¢·29,733.6 shares·also $4.2K on YES
Invested
$5.4K
Win Rate
64.1%
Position P&L
+$24338
+$24338INV $5.4K · WR 64.1%
G
gopfan2◆Proven🥉
Entry 26¢·19,260.8 shares
Invested
$5.1K
Win Rate
60.2%
Position P&L
+$14190
+$14190INV $5.1K · WR 60.2%
C
Cajetan◆Proven
Entry 49¢·9,605.4 shares
Invested
$4.7K
Win Rate
84.7%
Position P&L
+$4912
+$4912INV $4.7K · WR 84.7%
2
235623451
Entry 55¢·7,464.9 shares
Invested
$4.1K
Win Rate
86.6%
Position P&L
+$3369
+$3369INV $4.1K · WR 86.6%
I
influenz.eth
Entry 56¢·7,232.1 shares
Invested
$4.0K
Win Rate
85.8%
Position P&L
+$3219
+$3219INV $4.0K · WR 85.8%
W
wokerjoesleeper
Entry 46¢·7,382.6 shares
Invested
$3.4K
Win Rate
87.6%
Position P&L
+$3977
+$3977INV $3.4K · WR 87.6%
K
Kapiihedged
Entry 65¢·2,972 shares·also $2.6K on YES
Invested
$1.9K
Win Rate
57.9%
Position P&L
+$1044
+$1044INV $1.9K · WR 57.9%
L
Liquidifier
Entry 99¢·1,300 shares
Invested
$1.3K
Win Rate
56.3%
Position P&L
+$16
+$16INV $1.3K · WR 56.3%
A
ArmageddonRewardsBillyhedged
Entry 92¢·680 shares·also $599 on YES
Invested
$628
Win Rate
57.7%
Position P&L
+$52
+$52INV $628 · WR 57.7%
Showing top 10 of 91
Smart Whale Trades
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